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Wednesday, April 01, 2009

PH Population 1: as of August 2009


The Philippine government, through the National Statistics Office (NSO, www.census.gov.ph) conducted a nationwide population and household survey in late 2007. The result, the Philippine population count as of August 1, 2007, is posted in its website.

This table that I constructed below is projecting Philippine population (and its regions and big provinces) for August 2009, using the actual population growth rate for each respective region and province, for 2000-2007. That is, I assumed here that the growth rate in those period would remain the same for 2007-2009 projection.

Projected Population, August 2009
(million)

Philippines, 91.83

NCR, 11.61
Cordillera/CAR, 1.51
Ilocos region, 4.54
Cagayan Valley, 3.05
Central Luzon, 9.77
4A Calabarzon, 11.88
4B Mimaropa, 2.56
Bicol region, 5.11
Western Visayas, 6.85
Central Visayas, 6.41
Eastern Visayas, 3.91
Zambo Peninsula, 3.23
Northern Mind., 3.95
Davao region, 4.17
SocSKSargen, 3.84
ARMM, 4.17

Biggest provinces

1. Cavite, 2.88
2. Bulacan, 2.84
3. Pangasinan, 2.64
4. Laguna, 2.48
5. Cebu, 2.44
6. Negros Occ., 2.37
7. Rizal, 2.29
8. Batangas, 2.24
9. Pampanga, 1.91
10. Nueva Ecija, 1.85

11. Camarines Sur, 1.69
12. Leyte, 1.72
13. Iloilo, 1.69
14. Quezon, 1.65
15. Isabela, 1.40
16. Tarlac, 1.24
17. Negros Or., 1.23
18. Bohol, 1.23
19. Bukidnon, 1.19
20. Albay, 1.19

21. Lanao del Sur, 1.14
22. N. Cotabato, 1.12
23. Cagayan, 1.07
* Davao City, 1.36
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I wrote this last January 08, 2009

Philippine Population, 2009 and Beyond 


Philippine population, in million; in parenthesis are average annual growth rate.

1980
1995 Sep 1, 68.62
2000 May 1, 76.50 (2.36%, 1990-2000)
2007 Aug 1, 88.57 (2.04%, 2000-2007)

Projections:
2009 Aug 1, 92.19
2013 Aug 1, 99.43
2013 Dec 31, 100.18

source of census years data:
National Statistics Office, www.census.gov.ph

The Philippines is the 12th most populatous country in the world.
Figures for 2006 (in million)

1. China, 1,320
2. India, 1,130
3. US, 304
4. Indonesia, 232
5. Brazil, 187
6. Pakistan, 163
7. Bangladesh, 159
8. Nigeria, 148
9. Russia, 142
10. Japan, 128
11. Mexico, 107
12. Philippines,89
13. Vietnam, 84
14. Germany, 82
15. Egypt, 81

source: Wikipedia, en.wikipedia.org

The advantage of a high population country is that there are millions of new and continuing workers and entrepreneurs producing more goods and services both for the domestic and international market. The main disadvantage is when a big portion of that country's labor force is not skilled and not entrepreneurial enough. The implication is there will be big demand for "government support and welfare", which gives more alibi for the government to create new taxes or hike existing taxes and fees, to finance its expanding "government responsibility".

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