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Saturday, February 22, 2020

Projected electricity demand in March - Oct 2020

The projected weather phenomena starting March to October 2020 is shown below. The estimated temperature anomaly (deviation from the average) are as follows:

March-July 2018:  -0.6 to +0.5 C   (cold to hot)
March-July 2019:  +0.8 to +0.5 C  (generally hot)
March-July 2020:  +0.8 to -0.5 C.  (hot to cold)


https://i1.wp.com/www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/monitoring/nino3_4.png
https://i1.wp.com/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd1/nino34Sea.gif

Implications for electricity demand forecasting in the Luzon grid these coming hot months -- we expect cooler weather, rainy months this year and hence, lesser power demand.

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