* My column in BusinessWorld last Wednesday, May 22, 2019.
Sydney – The Philippines held its mid-terms elections
last May 13, and “man-made” climate change, “more renewables” were marginal if
not non-issues altogether for many of the national and local candidates. The
energy issue was whether there would be any blackout because of the series of
yellow and red alerts (insufficient power supply and reserves) many weeks
before Election Day.
On May 18, Australia also held its federal elections, and
for the Labor Party, among their big issues were climate alarmism, reducing
carbon emission by 45% by 2030, and closing the Adani mine, with various
surveys showing they would win. The Liberal Party campaigned for energy
realism, and cheaper and stable electricity for a stronger economy. They won
and PM Scott Morrison is reelected.
PM Morrison once brandished a lump of coal in parliament,
saying, “This is coal – don’t be afraid!” True. There is nothing scary about
coal but there is something to thank for it – because among the world’s biggest
and industrialized economies are heavy coal users. The Philippines, having more
coal plants recently and demonized by many anti-coal activists and climate alarmists,
is actually a “midget” or small-time coal player in the world, even in Asia
(see table).
Two recent reports in BusinessWorld show that the problem
of power inadequacy continues and I quote portion of the reports:
1. ERC reviewing norms for allowable levels of power
plant outages (May 13):
“’Those that exceeded the outage allowance under the
contract should not be charged on consumers, but on the generating company that
failed to deliver.’ At present, the obligation to provide replacement power
depends on the provisions of the PSA between a distribution utility and a
generation company.”
2. DoE may limit power contracts to 70% of plant capacity
(May 16):
“’We have to encourage the plants to be well-maintained….
a 70% cap of their contracting with distribution utilities so that they can
have more power available for replacement power, for power available for
ancillary services and more power available in the spot market,’ said Energy
Undersecretary Felix William B. Fuentebella”
Both reports 1 and 2 would tend to restrict leeway for
existing gencos and power plants when the bigger issue is how to have more
power capacity, more gigawatts of new, stable electricity to be added into the
system, something like 1.5 GW a year or more. When there is more power
available, some DUs may contract just half of their needs and get the other
half from the wholesale electricity spot market (WESM), even without new DOE or
ERC regulation.
Meanwhile, I am here in Sydney to attend two big events,
the ALS Friedman Liberty Conference by the Australia Taxpayers Alliance, and
the biennial World Taxpayers Association (WTA) conference, May 23 to 26, 2019.
Energy security and more power competition is among the topics to be discussed
in some panels.
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See also:
BWorld 329, Jeju Forum and smart cities, May 22, 2019
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