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Sunday, April 09, 2023

Deindustrialization 12, Bypassing the usefulness of fossil fuels, more on net zero

A diagram of the usefulness of fossil fuels, lots of byproducts.


And



Windfall Tax Leads To Job Losses At UK’s Largest Oil & Gas Producer
By Julianne Geiger - Mar 09, 2023
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Windfall-Tax-Leads-To-Job-Losses-At-UKs-Largest-Oil-Gas-Producer.html

The Weakening Electric Grid: Less Reliable, More Fragile
Authored by Milton Exrati via The Epoch Times, March 11, 2023
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/weakening-electric-grid-less-reliable-more-fragile

During the last 20-some years in which these arrangements have been in place, a lot of fossil fuel and nuclear has closed, not because of green preferences but because they simply could no longer operate profitably. The electric grid’s infrastructure has deteriorated under the on-again-off-again strains and because providers lack the surplus to upgrade their equipment. At the same time, the reliance of natural gas has grown.

Eminent Oxford Scientist Says Wind Power “Fails on Every Count”
BY CHRIS MORRISON 25 MARCH 2023
https://dailysceptic.org/2023/03/25/eminent-oxford-scientist-says-wind-power-will-cost-trillions-trash-the-environment-and-be-entirely-unnecessary/

THE INADEQUACY OF WIND POWER 
Wade Allison
https://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2023/03/Allison-Wind-energy.pdf

The Energy Transition Is a Delusion Indeed
By Benjamin ZycherMarch 27, 2023
https://www.realclearwire.com/articles/2023/03/27/the_energy_transition_is_a_delusion_indeed_889761.html
(This paper has plenty of useful links including long papers)

The Implausibility of a Net Zero Carbon Energy Future is Now Obvious
Germany has hit a brick wall on clean energy, postponing a ban on internal-combustion automobile engines. Let's start there.
MISH MAR 28, 2023
https://mishtalk.com/economics/in-germany-there-will-be-no-clean-e-fuels-left-for-cars


Natural Gas: A Comprehensive Guide To The World's Most Crucial Fuel
By Michael Kern - Mar 30, 2023
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/Natural-Gas-A-Comprehensive-Guide-To-The-Worlds-Most-Crucial-Fuel.html

Here are some reasons why natural gas is important:

Clean-burning: Natural gas emits fewer greenhouse gases than other fossil fuels when burned.

Abundant: There are vast reserves of natural gas located around the world.

Reliable: Natural gas infrastructure is well-established in many parts of the world.

Flexible: Natural gas can be used for a variety of applications across different sectors.

Cost-effective: Natural gas prices have historically been lower than those for other fossil fuels. 


More about Europe energy, net zero.



Meanwhile, a simple case study of solar rooftop.

My friend in Cebu has solar rooftop 8kw or 8,000 watts capacity.

The average capacity factor for solar is about 18%. Assuming it also applies to solar rooftop, then it should produce 1.44 kwh in 1 hour, 34.56 kwh in 24 hours.

His solar produced only 28.5 kwh and 12 kwh on two days early this week.

Those are only 82.5% and 34.7% respectively of its expected output. And it's late March already, supposedly high solar output bec it's non- or less-cloudy compared to rain/wet months July-Nov or Dec.

Conclusion: rooftop solar cap factor should be only around 14%, much lower than big solar farms. And hence, hard to recover the big investments even after 10, 15 years.
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See also:
Deindustrialization 9, Net Zero and Degrowth, Oct-Nov. reports, December 10, 2022
Deindustrialization 10, Net zero, ESG and carbon tax, February 09, 2023
Deindustrialization 11, Failing grid and Net zero, March 03, 2023.

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