* BusinessWorld May 01, 2023.
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Under Mr. Diokno’s proposal, the reforms will apply to all active personnel and new entrants. It will remove the automatic indexation of pensions to the salary of active personnel of the same rank. Uniformed personnel will start getting their pensions when they turn 57. Mandatory contributions will be required for active personnel and new entrants, similar to GSIS pensioners.
These reforms are necessary to address certain economic distortions. For instance, active personnel contribute zero to their future pensions, the cost of which had reached P160 billion a year and is projected to reach P200+ billion a year by 2023-2024. These pensions are tax-free, indexed to one grade higher, and 75% is passed on to the spouse when the pensioner dies, still tax free. This is even more generous than the US military pension system.
Taxpayers are already burdened with costs such as free education for four years at the Philippine Military Academy and Philippine National Police Academy; high salaries, especially doubling of military pay by former President Rodrigo R. Duterte in 2018; high expenditures for arms, ammunition, trucks, tanks, ships, choppers, planes, training, etc. so that they have superiority over rebels and criminals and their chance of dying is low; and pension upon retirement.
If soldiers and policemen were sent to battle without those heavy equipment in land, sea and air, they are indeed entitled to generous pensions as additional incentive for their service to the country.
I built this table to have a bigger picture of the fiscal situation. From 2016 to 2022, the tax burden increased from P21,400 to P31,800, while the expenditure burden rose from P24,900 to P46,200. The debt burden increased from P64,400 to P124,000, while the military and police pension burden rose from P585 to P1,470. Their pensions, maintenance and other operating expenditures plus capital outlay burden such as the purchase of new tanks and choppers doubled to P2,600 (Table 1).The fiscal burden on taxpayers keeps rising, not flatlining or decreasing. And the huge military and police pension cost is part of this problem.
So, I ask our soldiers and policemen — active and pensioners — to please do your share. “Serve and protect” the taxpayers too, contribute to the pension fund, end the indexation and support other reforms. Do not limit the “Serve and protect… our taxpayer-funded pension.” Thank you.
Last week, I got data from the DoF on excise tax revenues. Collections from tobacco products are the biggest as the tax rate keeps rising: P35 a pack in 2019, P45 in 2020, P50 in 2021, P55 in 2022, P60 this year and a 5% increase yearly thereafter, or P63 a pack in 2024, P66.15 in 2025 and so on.
Alcohol tax rates are also rising. Sugar-sweetened beverage tax was imposed only in 2018 under the TRAIN law of 2017. Petroleum excise tax is vanishing because all oil players have shifted to imports since 2021, and the small tax collections in 2022 came from the remaining inventory.
One big and noticeable item showed up in the DoF data — revenues from tobacco taxes have declined for the first time, from P179 billion in 2021 to P160 billion in 2022. Then I computed the percent share of tobacco and alcohol, the Budget of Expenditures and Sources of Financing projections in August (or July) of the same year’s share to actual. The DoF has over-projected revenues from tobacco tax — P210 billion versus P160 billion actual, or a ratio of 131% (Table 2).
The big drop in tobacco tax is mainly a result of worsening smuggling and illicit trade in the country. I personally saw cigarettes sold in western Pangasinan early this year at only P40 a pack. These were 100% illicit products because the retail price was lower than the tax at P60 pack, and there were no graphic warnings. And these were openly sold in mom-and-pop stores.
The control of illicit trade, which is economic sabotage, is mainly a function of local governments, DoF agencies and the Philippine National Police and Philippine Coast Guard. They have a huge budget — the police had P190-P192 billion a year in 2021-2023, and the coast guard had P15.4 billion in 2021, P19.3 billion in 2022 and P21.3 billion in 2023.
So this is a case where some uniformed agencies have a huge annual budget, big annual pensions that require higher taxes but are remiss in their function to control smuggling that reduces tax revenues.
Meanwhile, the tax-tax-tax health activists should be happy because their target of reduced smoking is attained. But they may have become unintentional allies of the smugglers, criminals and corrupt enforcers in government because more smokers have shifted to illicit, smuggled tobacco that pay zero tax.
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See also:
BWorld 597, GDP expansion and an irrational lobby, April 24, 2023
BWorld 598, High inflation in the Philippines could be due to dynamic domestic economy, May 06, 2023
BWorld 599, Growth projection, electricity generation and PPP Center, May 07, 2023.
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