Thursday, September 05, 2024

Macroecon 31, Low oil prices, low inflation

The big economic good news this morning in the country is our low inflation rate for August 2024, only 3.3% yr on yr (yoy), from 4.4% last July. 

https://psa.gov.ph/content/summary-inflation-report-consumer-price-index-2018100-august-2024

This is following low global oil prices last month. And P/$ appreciation from P58 until July to only P56+ in August.

Source: Trading Economics

So domestic oil prices are low, people are happy, me included. The short-term trend is towards even lower inflation rate by Sept-Oct 2024, likely below 3%. Lower inflation rate means more spending by the people. --------------


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