Showing posts with label energy rationing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label energy rationing. Show all posts

Saturday, May 03, 2014

Climate Tricks 29: Bioethanol to Save the Planet, or Pollute the Planet?

The use of biofuels is one of the schemes invented by the climate alarmism and energy rationing movement to help "save the planet". By using organic materials like corn and sugar as additive or actual liquid fuel to vehicles, it is hoped that the use of petroleum products which emit CO2 that "pollute" the air and further raise greenhouse gases (GHGs) and warm the planet, will be lessened.

There are a few bioethanol processing plants in the Philippines, riding on the Clean Air Act I think, that requires the use of biofuels nationwide.

Now here's the twist. Residents, church and local political leaders of San Carlos City, Negros Occidental, have launched an anti-pollution campaign against a bioethanol plant there. San Carlos is around 80 kilometers south east from my hometown, Cadiz City, same province.


And here's from San Carlos City Interactive, report this week.


Another report this week, from The Visayan Daily Star.By using organic materials for their fuel production, they should expect decomposition process, and that is where foul smell can occur.

Earlier, the main criticism for biofuels is that crops were used to feed cars, instead of feeding people and farm animals. This contributed to a spike in world food prices as several million hectares of agricultural land were devoted worldwide for biofuel production.

One wonders what the militant environmentalists would say about this twist. That alternative energy production to help "save the planet" now actually pollute the planet. The risks to people's health and productivity is felt today, not 50 or 100 years from now.

People will slowly realize that they have been hoodwinked by the climate alarmism movement. The supposed "solutions" are worse than the problems. Well, "man-made" or anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is not a problem in the first place. Global warming, along with global cooling, were mainly nature-made, not man-made.

Meanwhile, another good chart from NTZ,

Figure 2. Global temperatures over the last 3,200 years
It shows that climate change is cyclical and natural (or nature-made). Warming-cooling-warming-cooling, in endless natural cycles.
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See also::

Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Energy rationing 6: FEF on the RE racket

The Foundation for Economic Freedom (FEF) has produced a new statement, Manifesto Against Increases in Power Rates to Subsidize Solar and Wind Energy Producers and to Guarantee their Superprofits. Portions of it below. Click to get a larger image.


I am not exactly a fan of the FEF, but on certain issues, I support their campaigns. Like this one, to expose the racket and legalized robbery in the Renewable Energy (RE) law, where we, ordinary energy consumers in the Philippines, will be forced to pay even higher electricity rates to the already high rates, to subsidize the RE power plants of the new energy cronies.

Towards the closing paragraphs of the statement, the FEF says,

We believe that the subsidy in the form of Feed-in-Tariff rates should NOT be given to existing power producers as this will mean a tremendous windfall for them. These producers are already enjoying tax and duty free incentives and will not add to the nation's power supply.

I think it's already late for the FEF and the public to complain about the Feed-in-Tariff (FIT) system. It's already in the law. The strong RE lobby, led then by the World Wide Fund (WWF), Greenpeace and other climate alarmist groups, made sure that the new energy cronies will get such incentive in order to help "save the planet." Those lobbyists for RE cronyism will insist that the law should be implemented.

But if public pressure to set aside the FIT provision will be strong as it will mean even more expensive electricity rates, perhaps the RE producers and cronies will be ashamed to push for it. It's a good fight worth pursuing.

Once people fall for climate alarmism and the various racket and rent-seeking provisions, regulations and taxation that the alarmists and governments want, they're trapped. It just happened that a number of the FEF Fellows and members are part of the climate alarmism movement.

Meanwhile, here's another article from Boo Chanco today. This should be a continuation to Energy rationing 5: Boo Chanco on the RE racket
Renewable energy

Beyond the subsidy called Feed-in Tariff, there are other things that ought to be looked at before we agree to allow them to put additional burdens on our power users. For instance, it is not clear, the position paper of the Foundation for Economic Freedom (FEF) observes, what is it exactly that the envisioned FIT program is supposed to buy us?

“Is it to lower our carbon emissions in order to help arrest global warming? Our carbon footprint is a rounding error vs. the large and more industrialized countries, and our RE component, at 30 to 40 percent of installed capacity, is already five times the global average.”

Romy Bernardo who spearheaded the paper’s drafting illustrates: The subsidy cost for solar per kWh is over P12. (calculated as the FIT rate of P17.95 less avoided cost of P4.50/kwh or the cost of buying at the current grid cost). One can lower consumption of power by giving away new efficient light bulbs that produce 60 watts of brightness at 15 watts use of power. Based on the calculation, by an ADB expert, the cost of doing this translates to $0.025 per kWh saved, roughly ten centavos/kWh saved. The numbers are striking-- P12 solar vs. P0.10 for energy efficient light bulbs.

In short, just give free light bulbs and you can do more than 100 times the benefit in terms of reducing carbon footprint for the same peso spent from public purse. A slightly clever solar operator selling at FiT rates can put solar panels under a light bulb, run even when there is no sunlight (like even night time) to get paid for power at P 17.95 per kWh, and only incur cost of P4.50 per kWh to buy power from the grid for the light bulbs.


Finally, am reposting here portions of a new article by Dr. Steve McIntyre of Climate Audit.
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IPCC WG3 and the Greenpeace Karaoke

June 14, 2011

On May 9, 2011, the IPCC announced:


Close to 80 percent of the world‘s energy supply could be met by renewables by mid-century if backed by the right enabling public policies a new report shows.

In accompanying interviews, IPCC officials said that the obstacles were not scientific or technological, but merely a matter of political will.

Little of the increase was due to ‘traditional’ renewables (hydro and ‘traditional’ biomass, mostly dung), but to solar, wind and non-traditional biomass.

I, for one, was keenly interested in how IPCC got to its potential 80%. Unfortunately, in keeping with execrable IPCC practices, the supporting documents for the Renewables Study were not made available at the time of the original announcement. (Only the Summary for Policy-makers was made available at the time.) This showed one worrying aspect of the announcement. The report was based on 164 ‘scenarios’ and the ‘up to 80%” scenario in the lead sentence of their press release was not representative of their scenarios, but the absolute top end. This sort of press release is not permitted in mining promotions and it remains a mystery to me why it is tolerated in academic press releases or press releases by international institutions....

The basis for this claim is a Greenpeace scenario. The Lead Author of the IPCC assessment of the Greenpeace scenario was the same Greenpeace employee who had prepared the Greenpeace scenarios, the introduction to which was written by IPCC chair Pachauri.

The public and policy-makers are starving for independent and authoritative analysis of precisely how much weight can be placed on renewables in the energy future. It expects more from IPCC WG3 than a karaoke version of Greenpeace scenario.

It is totally unacceptable that IPCC should have had a Greenpeace employee as a Lead Author of the critical Chapter 10, that the Greenpeace employee, as an IPCC Lead Author, should (like Michael Mann and Keith Briffa in comparable situations) have been responsible for assessing his own work and that, with such inadequate and non-independent ‘due diligence’, IPCC should have featured the Greenpeace scenario in its press release on renewables.

Everyone in IPCC WG3 should be terminated and, if the institution is to continue, it should be re-structured from scratch.
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The Greenpeace (and World Wildlife Fund) racket in renewable energy is getting more obvious. The distinction or dividing line between environmental activists and UN climate bureaucrats has also been erased in this case, as a Greenpeace activist has become a lead author of an IPCC Working Group (WG) 3.

The ultimate goal of this continued energy rationing in favor of RE power plants is simple: to get as much tax money and energy subsidies from governments and hapless energy consumers. Such scheme will make their RE farms cute, profitable and "sustainable".------

Related articles:
Energy rationing 1: Energy loans and climate alarmism, February 13, 2011
Energy rationing 2: The Renewable Energy (RE) law, February 18, 2011
Energy rationing 3: Restricting poor countries' access to cheap energy, April 01, 2011
Energy rationing 4: Anti-coal, anti-nuke hysteria, April 14, 2011

Climate stupidity 10: The Sun and GCRs don't affect climate?
Earth Hour lunacy, Part 3

Thursday, June 02, 2011

Energy rationing 5: Boo Chanco on the RE racket

I seldom read newspapers, much less their columnists. I read more a few blogs that I follow everyday, especially science blogs pertaining to climate science, then the facebook updates of my friends, including the news articles that they recommend. Then I read some of those articles or opinions.

The renewable energy (RE) racket "to save the planet" is still on-going. Mind you, they plan to steal from us around P9 billion (roughly US$ 207 million at current P43.3/$ exchange rate) every year for the next 20 years. It's not a new tax that will go to the government. Rather, it's an add-on cost that we energy consumers in the Philippines will have to pay extra to the already high electricity prices, to subsidize those expensive solar and wind farms.

Luckily, there are a few local newspaper columnists who have written about the RE racket. Like FEF Fellows Romy Bernardo of BusinessWorld, and Boo Chanco of the Philippine Star.

Last May 27, 2011, Boo Chanco wrote in the Philippine Star:

Renewable energy

Here is something to think about for us electricity consumers, already burdened by one of the highest electricity rates in the world. We are being asked to subsidize the cost of electricity produced by solar, wind and other so-called renewables through the mechanism of the so-called feed in tariff or FIT.

Unless we speak up, we will be forced to shell out some P9 billion every year for FIT for 20 long years… even after technology has made those renewables economically competitive. Of that amount, 50 percent goes to solar and wind, even if they will only account for 20 percent of the RE generated power under the FIT program.

There are those who say we have such a small carbon footprint and because we use significant amounts of geothermal and hydro, our electricity generation mix is already at least 32 percent renewable compared to the US which is under 10 percent. That means the Philippines is already contributing three times as much RE as the US on a country basis.

So why subsidize these fashionable RE technologies now? Why can’t we just wait for the more technologically advanced and financially capable developed countries to shepherd these technologies along until no subsidy will be required? Ironically, these developed countries are cutting back on their RE subsidies lately, notably in Europe.

I understand that even the National Grid will have to shell out substantial capex. It has to cope with all these small power sources going on and off the grid all the time without destabilizing the system. Guess who pays for the National Grid investments?

Hopefully our policy makers will put our interests, the already heavily burdened Filipino electricity consumers, ahead of the salesmen trying to make a fast buck by selling these technologies to us at this time. The ERC should carefully crunch the numbers and carefully explain everything before forcing us to pay up for something we don’t really need now....


Today, Boo wrote again on the RE racket.

Solar + Wind = Hot Air

... Indeed, solar is still a technology undergoing development. Eventually, it should be commercially viable or competitive with conventional energy. Right now, the only way to make it viable is to subsidize it. It is the same thing with wind. They call that subsidy feed-in-tariff (FiT), a fancy term for the amount they want to add to our electricity bills supposedly to encourage more use of this type of renewable energy.

Some local economists have raised an alarm about going overboard on this FiT in our mindless haste to be seen as fashionably earth loving. The manufacturers of solar and wind energy equipment have successfully lobbied Congress into passing a law that mandates the granting of this subsidy. It also mandates the inclusion of RE into our electricity mix. Because our legislators were only after PR mileage to be seen as being ecologically correct, the law gave no regard to cost implications for our consumers and our industries.

Romy Bernardo, a Ramos era undersecretary of finance, is critical of the P9 billion annual cost of FiT (times 20 years or P180 billion). Of this, 50 per- cent goes to solar and wind, even if they will only account for 20 percent of the RE generated power under the FiT program. “Let’s decide what the public can afford,” Bernardo urges. “It certainly cannot be the P7 to P9 billion PER YEAR over a contract period of 20 years, given the already high cost of power.”

Bernardo is correct. Even the RE developers acknowledge that today’s RE prices are expected to come down. One executive working on the solar initiatives of a local conglomerate told their stockholders meeting just this week that it will take three to five years to reach grid parity based on global studies.

The solar industry is growing so fast, he said, and economies of scale are kicking in. “In the Philippines, projection is by 2015 to 2017, we should reach grid parity.” So why not wait? And why give them subsidy for 20 years when the technology is at grid parity in five? The initial price setting should only be made applicable for the next three or five years. After that, we should review again.

Even if we end up with less RE because we have been too cautious, it would be worse to err on the side of paying too much, locking in the mistake for 20 long years. We already have, in any case, at 34 percent, more RE capacity installed as a percentage of total electricity generated than the US and most European countries. We can afford to wait for the technologies to mature and come down in price.

The Foundation for Economic Freedom (FEF), a public advocacy group espousing market-oriented reform for good governance, has taken the position that “Renewable Energy subsidies must be transparent, limited and technology neutral.” The FEF believes the Feed-in-Tariffs to be issued by the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) must provide for an absolute peso cap on the total amount of subsidies that the public will be made to bear, capped both on an annual basis and for the life of the project.

The FEF also wants to make sure that the amount of public subsidy for RE projects should be explicitly disclosed and shown to be commensurate to the social benefit that the public is expected to derive from this program. The outlay should be transparently evaluated based on “value for money” to the public.

The FEF also urged the ERC to consider the ability of the public to shoulder additional levies on a per kWh cost of power. As FEF president Toti Chikiamco puts it, “it’s not only household consumers who will suffer but industry too. It will reduce the competitiveness of Philippine industry, already burdened with one of the highest power rates in the region and a strong peso.”

The FEF economists also think we should buy the cheapest RE available before we buy the more expensive technology. They point out that based on the numbers of the National Renewable Energy Board (NREB), it appears that we can subsidize 11 kwh of hydro for the same amount needed to subsidize 1 kwh of solar. The subsidy equivalent for biomass is 6 kwh for 1 kwh of solar.
Actually, even abroad, the economics of solar and wind are being questioned. In an article on MarketWatch, where I borrowed the headline for this column today, market trader Jim Chanos famed for shorting Enron, argues that wind and solar are “not capable” of real cost-effective ways of meeting energy demands. “Wind and solar are not efficient.”

This is not to say that technologies such as Solar Photo Voltaic have no place in our energy mix at this time. The FEF paper admits solar may be the best, or the only substitute, in some areas, for expensive diesel-fired plants serving off-grid customers.

When solar or wind are used to augment off-grid diesel installations, the avoided costs (or the cost of diesel fuel that would have been used) and the avoided emissions are higher, so the required incremental subsidy is less. And no additional reserves or transmission facilities that add to our power costs are needed. In fact, solar technology is already used in a significant number of rural electrification projects all over the country....

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See also, Energy rationing 2: The Renewable Energy (RE) law

Thursday, April 14, 2011

Energy rationing 4: Anti-coal, anti-nuke hysteria

In one of my discussion googlegroups today, someone posted a campaign, "Please sign: Stop sacrificing the environment and the people's welfare on the altar of profit". Portions of the campaign said,

We, environmental advocates, members of the clergy and churchworkers, citizens, and leaders representing various organizations committed to defending the Philippine environment, unite to declare publicly our growing dismay over the state of ecological destruction and human rights violations under the administration of President Benigno Aquino III....

We challenge President Aquino to stop this sacrifice of the environment and the people's welfare on the altar of profit. We assert our calls for a genuinely pro-people, pro-environment and progressive policy of stewardship over our natural resources by pursuing the following specific demands:

1. Stop the liberalization of the Philippine mining industry.
2. Stop the killings and human rights violations of environmental advocates.
3. Cancel the permits and operations of big commercial logging firms in addition to the logging moratorium.
4. Impose a moratorium on the construction of new coal power plants.
5. Reject the proposal to revive the Bataan Nuclear Power Plant.
6. Scrap the Japan-Philippines Economic Partnership Agreement.

The writers and endorsers of this campaign possibly forgot that the President came from the Liberal Party, not from the Socialist Party or a Nationalist or Anti-globalization Party.

A liberal, in the classic liberal tradition or even the current European liberalism philosophy, respects the free enterprise system, not more business regulations, more prohibitions.

On their specific demands:

1. Stop the liberalization of mining industry -- and leave the industry only to local politicians and companies? Among the best practitioners of sustainable mining practices are the big multinationals which have global corporate brands and have modern mining and geological technologies to optimize mining with minimal damage to the environment. If we prohibit them from coming in, the mineral potentials of the country at the time that prices of important commodities and mineral products are very high, as well as the creation of many locals jobs, will not be optimized.

2. Stop the killing and human rights violations of environmental advocates -- I support this, we should support this. And not only environmental advocates, all political killings and human rights violations of ordinary citizens should be stopped. Especially by political warlords like the Ampatuans.

3. On commercial logging ban -- and leave the forests to carabao logging, local politicians logging? People need wood, whether we like it or not. The poor especially as they cannot afford the steel and cement housing, or aluminum/steel/glass furnitures. No commercial logging means zero supply of wood from legitimate sources, wood prices shoot up, and the bigger the temptation to do illegal logging by local politicians and carabao logging to take advance of the high prices of wood.

Commercial logging, supervised by licensed foresters and connected with long-term business contracts, practice sustainable logging. A logging concession area is divided into several blocks. For a 20-years cycle for instance, only 1/20th of the entire logging area is cut and cleared for a year, the remaining 19/20th of the area has thick forest, forever. It is to their business interests that there are trees to cut every year, so they keep planting every year.

4. Moratorium on the construction of new coal power plants, reject nuke power plants -- and what else to prohibit, natural gas plants, petrol oil plants? And what will the new houses, new factories, new schools, new offices, new shops and malls use, candles and firewood?

Many environmentalists advocate the renewables like wind, solar, biomass, etc. That's why we have the RE law, and the business cronyism associated with it as it gives lots of incentives and guaranteed profit for the wind farms, solar farms. Our already expensive power prices will soon become even more expensive due to mechanisms like feed-in-tariffs (FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS).

I discussed the cronyism of the RE law here, Energy rationing 2: The Renewable Energy (RE) law. Dr. Willie Soon and Barun Mitra also produced a paper questioning the global energy rationing polices that restrict access of the poor to cheaper energy sources here.

5. Scrapping of Japan-Philippines EPA -- and go back to the old trade protectionism? That EPA is not exactly a free trade agreement (FTA) but it is better than going back to high protectionism.

The petition also mentioned the "Earth Hour". As I posted in Earth Hour lunacy, part 2, I wrote to the top 2 honchos of WWF-EH, Atty. Ibay and Mr. Yan where I sent them my article why the EH is a lunatic idea, they have one standard reply: silence of the lamb. Then I wrote a comment at the EH website comment section, they censored it. I consider the WWF as a bunch of noisy but coward environmental activists.

If the WWF officials and other environmentalist groups will protest my assessment of them, then I am open to any public debate with them on climate science and policy, anytime, anywhere. Leave a note of challenge at the comment section here.

Meanwhile, here is the latest data on global air temperature, composite for northern hemisphere (NH), tropics and southern hemisphere (SH). The lower troposphere temperature anomaly for March 2011 was -0.10 C. That is, the temperature in March 2011 was -0.1 C colder than the average temperature for all March from 1979 to 2010. Zero global warming, only global cooling trend now.

Here are the values, satellite data:

GLOBAL / NH / SH / TROPICS

2010
January 0.542 / 0.675 / 0.410 / 0.635
February 0.510 / 0.553 / 0.466 / 0.759
March 0.554 / 0.665 / 0.443 / 0.721
....
November 0.273 / 0.372 / 0.173 / -0.117
December 0.181 / 0.217 / 0.145 / -0.222

2011
January -0.010 / -0.055 / 0.036 / -0.372
February -0.020 / -0.042 / 0.002 / -0.348
March -0.099 / -0.073 / -0.126 / -0.345

Data and graph source is Dr. Roy Spencer of the Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH).

Friday, April 01, 2011

Energy rationing 3: Restricting poor countries' access to cheap energy

Among the important goals of climate alarmism is energy rationing. "Non-renewable" energy like oil, coal and natural gas will be over-taxed, over-regulated, and be killed whenever possible, while "renewable" energy like solar, wind, biomass and hydro will be given all sorts of incentives, subsidies and mandatory assured market. See an example of such energy rationing and cronyism will be done in the Philippines in Energy rationing and climate alarmism, part 2.

Dr. Willie Soon, a Malaysian-American astrophysicist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics in Boston, USA, and Barun Mitra, founder and Director of Liberty Institute in Delhi, India, recently wrote an article questioning this policy of energy rationing, especially for poorer countries like India and China.

In this photo, from left to right: Barun, Willie, Jose Tapia of ILE in Lima, Peru, and me. This was during the 2nd International Conference on Climate Change (2nd ICCC) in early March 2009 in New York City, sponsored by the Heartland Institute.

The joint paper by Barun and Willie, What really threatens our future? was published in The Edge Financial Daily in Kuala Lumpur yesterday. A friend from KL, Wan Saiful Wan Jan, CEO of IDEAS, helped to place the article in the said newspaper. Below are excerpts from Barun-Willie paper.

...power cuts and inadequate power are routine in developing countries like China and India. For them, going without electricity for hours or even days is the norm, not the exception.

But now, the UK’s power grid CEO is warning Brits that their days of reliable electricity are numbered. Because of climate change and renewable energy policies, families, schools, offices, shops, hospitals and factories will just have to “get used to” consuming electricity “when it’s available,” not necessarily when they want it or need it.

UN IPCC chairman Rajendra Pachauri justifies this absurd situation by sermonizing, “Unless we live in harmony with nature, unless we are able to reduce our dependency on fossil fuels and adopt renewable energy sources, and until we change our lifestyles, the world will increasingly become unfit for human habitation.”

Thus, people in poor countries who never had access to reliable electricity may be denied it even longer, while people in rich countries could soon face new electricity shortages.
Citizens of the world’s poor and emerging economies: Beware of claims that the greatest threat we face is from manmade climate change. They are wrong. The real threat is from energy starvation policies implemented in the name of preventing climate change....

People in rich countries will not give up their modern living standards, electricity, automobiles, airplanes, hospitals, factories and food. Mr. Pachauri certainly will not. Why, should people in poor countries give up their dreams?

During the Cancun climate summit, rich nations said they would give poor countries $100-billion annually in “climate change reparation and adaptation” money. But these are empty promises, made by nations that can no longer afford such unsustainable spending.

Poor countries that expect this money will end up fighting over table scraps – and whatever funds do flow will end up in the overseas bank accounts of ruling elites. The poor will see little or none of it.

For awhile longer, rich countries will continue supporting global warming research and conferences. Researchers, bureaucrats and politicians will continue issuing dire warnings of imminent catastrophes, while they enjoy the benefits of modern energy, traveling on airplanes, attending talk fests at fancy hotels in exotic locations – all powered by coal and petroleum.
They may continue telling the world’s poor how important and admirable it is that we keep living traditional, sustainable, environment-friendly lifestyles; getting by on small amounts of intermittent, unreliable, expensive electricity from wind turbines and solar panels; and giving up our dreams of a better, healthier, more prosperous life.

Ultimately, the climate change debate is really over just two things.

Whether we, the world’s poor, must give up our hopes and dreams. And whether we will determine our own futures – or the decisions will be made for us, by politicians who use climate change to justify restricting our access to reliable, affordable energy.

Which should we fear most? Climate change that some say might happen 50 or 100 years from now? Or an energy-deprived life of continued poverty, misery, disease, and forgotten hopes and dreams?

Our future is in our hands.

Friday, February 18, 2011

Energy rationing 2: The Renewable Energy (RE) law

(Notes: (a) this is my article today in thelobbyist.biz with original title, RE and Energy Cronyism. (b) Picture of a fozen and temporarily useless wind farm is from WUWT, and (c) Pictures of powerpoint slides are from Mr. Vince Perez's presentation. Click on those pictures to get larger images.)

One of the by-products of climate alarmism is energy rationing and energy cronyism. Producers and suppliers of “non-clean” or non-renewable energy sources will be slapped with various government regulations and taxation while suppliers of “clean” and renewable energy (RE) will be exempted, or be given highly relaxed regulations.

This is happening now, after the enactment of the Renewable Energy Act or RA 9513 in December 2008, and its implementing rules and regulations (IRR) became effective in June 2009.

The law is highly distortionary as it will give assured revenues and profit for the developers of immature, expensive and unstable power supply like solar, wind and ocean energy. A normal business in a competitive environment does not work this way. There is no “assured or guaranteed profit”, there are only possibilities of business expansion or bankruptcy, depending on how efficient a company is in producing the products and services needed by the consumers and the public.

The favoritism and cronyism given by the law and its IRR to RE developers and companies are too much compared to the various regulations and taxation imposed on non-RE companies and developers, when both simply produce energy that our houses, offices, schools, malls, computers and cell phones need.

Several schemes in the law and its IRR assure the developers of RE companies but the two most important ones are the Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) and the Feed-in-Tariff (FIT).

RPS is giving minimum percentage of generation to be sourced from eligible RE resources. FIT is giving guaranteed fixed price for at least 12 years for electricity produced from emerging RE resources (wind, solar, ocean, run-of-river hydro and biomass). See the presentation by former DOE Secretary Vince Perez, Status of Renewable Energy Policy in the Philippines presented in June 2009.

These two schemes immediately assure the RE companies of guaranteed markets and buyers, even if current RE costs per kwh are high, between 2x to 5x the prevailing rates, and even if RE supply is unstable and unreliable. Us energy consumers will be forced to pay for their more expensive energy output, on top of the already expensive energy costs. The ballpark figures are about 15 centavos per kwh add-on to the already high energy costs.

This is a sure formula for enriching the RE developers and a sure formula for further impoverishing poor energy consumers. Then there is the cash incentive for RE developers for "missionary" areas.

And aside from the above guaranteed market at guaranteed price, there are lots of other incentives given to RE companies that are absent or not provided to non-RE companies. These freebies are: (a) Income Tax Holiday for 7 years, (b) Duty-free importation of RE machinery, equipment and materials within the first 10 years, (c) Special realty tax rates, (d) Net Operating Loss Carry-over (to be carried for the next 7 consecutive years), (e) 10% Corporate tax rate, (f) Tax Exemption of Carbon Credits, and (g) Tax Credit.

If the government is hungry for more revenues to plug its endless and annual budget deficit, to pay its ever-rising interest payment (constituting on average one-fifth of total expenditures of the national government) due to its ever-rising public debt, why would it give lots of income tax holidays to RE companies?

The quick answer is that the government will slam-dunk the other companies and private individuals with the heavy burden of existing taxes (like 32 percent personal income tax, 30 percent corporate income tax, VAT, doc stamp tax, import tax, etc.).

Mr. Perez’ presentation also has a table entitled "Comparison of RE Promotion Policies, Asian Countries". The Philippines is giving away so many freebies to RE companies, but not to non-RE companies. It is a give away admission of how much favoritism and cronyism the RE law has created.



Then there are two new bureaucracies created by that law. One is the National RE Board (NREB) to be composed of different government agencies to some private sector players. The other is a technical secretariat, the RE Management Bureau (REMB).

The scientific, economic and business distortions created by the man-made warming scam keep increasing. And we taxpayers, we energy consumers, will pay for all those distortions and rent-seeking behavior by certain government agencies in cahoots with new crony companies and NGOs.
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See also Energy rationing, Part 1.

Sunday, February 13, 2011

Energy rationing 1: Energy Loans and Climate Alarmism

A fellow UPSE alumni, a BusinessWorld columnist, former DOF UnderSecretary, Romy Bernardo, wrote in one of his BW columns, Renewable Energy-- reality check . He wrote,

The Philippine Renewable Energy Law passed in 2008 has been applauded by environmental groups, renewable energy firms, and official donor institutions keen to play a role in addressing global warming. We who pay taxes and high energy bills need to be a little more wary.

My attention was caught by a news article reporting a billion dollar renewable energy loan program being negotiated between the Asian Development Bank, other official co-financiers, and the Philippine government. The news item said that “most of the $ 1 billion loan will be focused on supporting solar, wind and biomass power projects”. I hope this is inaccurate, and that most of the funding goes to sound components of the program like raising consumer awareness on energy efficiency and regulation for energy efficient equipment and appliances, instead of subsidizing inefficient technologies.

The hard reality is that the technology for these three sources is far from mature as seen in their exceedingly high price: solar costs P 25 per kWh, biomass and wind around P 10. This compares very poorly with the current grid rate of P 4.50 per kWh-- anywhere from two to five times true cost now.

So who will carry the high cost of these immature technologies? Answer: Feed In Tariffs (FIT). An add-on, a tax if you will, to the average cost of power in the grid for everybody. The law obliges the power industry participants to source electricity from generation at a guaranteed price applicable for a given period of time but no less than 12 years, supposedly to accelerate the development specifically of emerging RE resources. This cost to the public is on top of the tax gives the Renewable Energy Law provides developers, including income tax holidays for 7 years, duty free importation of renewable energy machinery, equipment, material for 10 years, special realty tax rates, etc.

The FIT provisions seem to have been adopted from laws in developed European countries, meant to subsidize emerging technologies by burying it in the general public’s power bill. The FIT number floating around in discussions for the Philippines is fifteen centavos add on per kwh used by each consumer. This amount may seem small, until one considers that this is an add-on to one of the highest per kWh cost of power in the region, arising from our archipelagic geography, and legacy/stranded costs.

Moreover, this fifteen centavos translates into a P 10 billion ANNUAL subsidy, hardly the best use of money for a country that has huge social and basic infrastructure requirements.

Last January 16, 2011, I wrote in Climate stupidity, part 6

...The climate loans racket is terrible. According to one news report last August, Billion dollar loans for climate change ‘unjust’, data from the Environmental Management Bureau (EMB) showed that Philippine loans for climate adaptation was $586.59 million, plus loans for climate mitigation of $491.64 million, for a total climate loans of $1.078 billion!!

For me, this climate loans racket is horrendous. The government is contracting loans left and right, to be paid from our current and future taxes and fees, to fight a non-existent enemy. Only the debt-pushers (not much different from the drug pushers) from the foreign aid establishment like the WB and ADB, the various climate officials and bureaucrats from local to national government, the beneficiary environmental NGOs, benefited from this huge debt.


So with $1+ billion of outstanding climate loans, Romy B said there's another $1B of future energy loans. What for, "to save the planet"? Or to save the perks and idiocy of the warming fanatics?

The Renewable Energy Commission is among the new bureaucracies created by the warming scam. The bigger bureaucracy that was newly created is the Climate Change Commission (CCC). These guys travel big time in global climate meetings -- like during the Copenhagen UN FCCC meeting in December 2009, then the Cancun meeting in Dec. 2010. FCCC also held several hold bi-monthly meetings prior to Copenhagen and Cancun.

I challenge the ADB-WB-other climate loans racketer -- Will you also be a coward if I challenge you to a public debate on the warming scam?

I asked that question because of two things.

One, about 2 years ago, UP School of Economics (UPSE) and PDE held a forum at the school, the speakers were the chief economist of ADB I think, and someone from the Carbon Finance Solutions (CAFIS). Dean Noel de Dios even gave the opening remarks. During the open forum, I asked those 2 speakers that their programs and solutions are based on wrong science, that there is no "man-made warming", that the planet simply experiences a regular, natural climate cycle of warming-cooling-warming-cooling, that there were periods in the past which were warmer than the past century's warming where there were no SUV, not even bicycles.

And what did those 2 gentlemen reply? That they are not scientists and the climate science is settled already (by whom, by Al Gore and the IPCC?). In short, they ducked when I was precisely challenging them to a debate.

Two, I have challenged many warming fanatics in this country -- Oxfam, World Wildlife Fund, Greenpeace, other alarmists - to a public debate. The response is uniform: silence of the lamb. I even questioned chief climate negotiator Tony La Vina in a UP College of Law forum last year, he also said that he is no scientist. From time to time, I would challenge him in facebook on climate, he would not reply.

The last time I wrote in his wall, I asked who are the guys who joined the Cancun meeting, from what agencies, in the spirit of "Freedom of Information". He responded by defriending me in fb.

I have already hypothesized several months ago, that ALL warming groups and fantics in this country are coward, no exception. I still wish to be proven wrong, that there are brave defenders of the man-made warming hypothsis.

Meanwhile, climate alarmism will make our energy cost even more expensive.

If this is not large-scale legalized robbery, what is it?