Critique of Dr. Edsel Salvana’s presentation entitled ‘Excess deaths in 2021: A scientific explanation’ at the Committee of Public Order and Safety November 21, 2023
by Romeo F. Quijano, M.D.
December 1, 2023
https://businessmirror.com.ph/2023/12/01/critique-of-dr-edsel-salvanas-presentation-entitled-excess-deaths-in-2021-a-scientific-explanation-at-the-committee-of-public-order-and-safety-november-21-2023/
IN this presentation, Dr. Salvana presented himself as the “Leader of the Technical Advisory Group of the Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management Emerging Infectious Diseases [IATF]; Director and Professor, Institute of Molecular Biology and Biotechnology, NIH, UP Manila; Professor of Medicine, UP Manila and Adjunct Professor for Global Health, University of Pittsburg.”
At the end of his presentation, Dr. Salvana concluded that:
“1. Majority of the excess deaths in 2021 aside from Covid-19 is due to increased deaths due to chronic illnesses as a result of health system disruption (no clinic follow-up, outpatient services); trend started BEFORE the vaccination program.
2. Lockdown prevented a much worse situation that could have resulted in many times more deaths from Covid-19.
3. Vaccination prevented millions of deaths and allowed us to open up safely.
4. No evidence that widespread deaths were due to vaccines—only 9 deaths out of 78 million vaccinated were due to anaphylaxis.
5. Vaccination had NOTHING to do with excess deaths in 2021, no parallel increase in deaths in other countries that started vaccination program at the same time and had low Covid-19 cases; parallel increase locally is coincidental and started PRIOR to the vaccination program.
6. Deaths FELL after the vaccination program reached most of the population as seen during Omicron, with DECOUPLING due to vaccination.
7. Philippines did well compared to many rich countries due to decisive and early lockdown, vaccination campaign and boosting, and judicious use of masks and public health standards.”
Given his presented credentials, and from the title of his presentation, Dr. Salvana was expected to give credible scientific rationale for his conclusions. There was none, whatsoever. All he could give are wild speculations, invalid inferences from erroneous modeling and biased, self-serving statements even surpassing the propaganda of his patrons in the pharmaceutical and vaccine industry.
It must be noted that Dr. Salvana is laden with conflicts of interests, having served Big Pharma on several occasions in various capacities. He did not cite any credible data nor any verifiable scientific evidence supporting his main conclusion that “Vaccination had NOTHING to do with excess deaths in 2021.” On the other hand, several honest to goodness causality assessments, devoid of conflict of interest, reveal beyond reasonable doubt that the excess deaths in 2021 is largely due to the Covid-19 mass vaccination.
There were 265,493 excess deaths in 2021 compared to 2020 (879,429 total deaths 2021 – 613,936 total deaths 2020 = 265,493).
Excess deaths rose substantially from March 2021 and peaked in September 2021, practically in tandem with the Covid-19 mass vaccination. This excess deaths phenomenon is considered a “Black Swan” event, which comes rarely and only following a major disaster (ex. war, severe pandemic, severe earthquake, severe famine, financial collapse, nuclear disaster, etc). This could not be explained, however, by Covid-19 deaths during that period of the pandemic since there was only a total of 46,410 registered Covid-19 deaths during that time. Many deaths attributed to Covid-19, in fact, can also be attributed to Covid vaccines as the underlying cause since vaccination itself is known to disrupt the immune system and increase susceptibility to severe infections and other diseases. Besides, Covid infection typically took the ill and fragile who were expected to be part of the usual deaths (as observed in 2020, when there were 8,209 identified Covid deaths and 19,758 unidentified Covid deaths, yet, there was no excess deaths during that period (compared to historical average).
Excess deaths could not be explained also by “increased deaths due to chronic illnesses as a result of health system disruption” as claimed by Dr. Salvana since “health system disruption” was already present in most of the year 2020 when strict lockdown and other unscientific restrictions were already imposed.
The top 10 causes of deaths in 2020, including total Covid deaths (identified and unidentified) amounted to a total of 416,745 deaths, presumably contributing 67.9 percent to the total deaths in 2020 (416,745/613,936 x 100 = 67.9 percent), yet, there were no excess deaths (compared to historical average) during this time. On the other hand, the top 10 causes of deaths in 2021, including total Covid deaths (identified and unidentified) amount to a total of 509,495 deaths, contributing 57.9 percent of total deaths in 2021 (509,495/879,428 x 100 = 57.9 percent), much less proportionately compared to the year 2020, yet, during this time, a staggering +43.2 percent excess deaths was recorded. Clearly, these chronic illnesses cannot explain the excess deaths in 2021.
Additionally, increased deaths due to these chronic illnesses can also be attributed to the mass vaccinations because it is also known (with adequate scientific evidence) that the Covid vaccines can cause or worsen chronic illnesses or co-morbidities leading to premature death. Besides, Dr. Salvana’s mendacious explanation cannot possibly explain why there were increases in excess deaths in younger age groups with no co-morbidities or chronic illnesses, including sudden deaths in athletes and ostensibly healthy adults. On the contrary, these deaths can very well be explained by the known mechanisms of toxicity and overwhelming scientific evidence (including autopsy evidence) of serious adverse effects and deaths due to the Covid-19 vaccines.
Dr. Romeo F. Quijano is a retired Professor at the Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology, College of Medicine, UP Manila.
1. PhilsExcess Deaths in 2021-Overall 43.2 percent Excess Deaths_721 Excess Deaths per day
2. Scientific Investigation in Post Pandemic Diseases
3. Causes of Deaths-PhilsJan- Dec 2020_PSA
4. Leading cause of death Phils_2021_CNN_PSA ·
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On Dr Salvana's post regarding Covid-19 "ultracrpidarians"
by Dr. Romeo Quijano
Jan. 2, 2024
"Wow, the incredible amount of noise from ultracrepidarians (new favorite word...) who have no idea what they are talking about is confusing the heck out of people and is denting vaccine confidence. Incredibly irresponsible to open your mouth and spew inaccurate information without doing your homework...So to insist on COMPLETION of Phase 3 trials before we negotiate for a supply is incredibly NAIVE. Notice how hard it is to get Pfizer or Moderna now because now that everyone knows it works, everyone wants it. It's like preordering a hot Christmas toy - there is risk in putting down your money, but if you do not, good luck finding it on the open market...So please try to ignore the noise from people who WILDLY speculate on matters they cannot or refuse to understand.”
The above quote from a well known and frequently quoted government expert on Covid-19 is symptomatic of authoritarian hubris commonly afflicting those in power, privilege and fame; medical experts are no exception. While it is true that there is a lot of “noise” flying out there about Covid-19, they are much less of a concern than the rushing and official drumbeating of Covid-19 vaccines that are scientifically questionable at the very least and potentially disastrous at worst. In fact, much of that “noise” reflects valid concerns from citizens who only have their “informed consent” remaining as a last defense from authoritarian acceptance of a dubious and hazardous vaccine.
True science (as opposed to corporate and authoritarian science) requires profound intellectual humility in the face of the complexity of the object of our study. We should be humbled by this mysterious phenomenon that stimulates our thinking in a quest to understand and bring it into sharper focus. We should always ask questions and always willing to be questioned by all, especially the “naive” common folk who do not seem to understand the subject of our expertise much less have the competence we have acquired from years of specialist education and training. To dismiss them outright as “fake news” or “noise” is unacceptable and unscientific. To call those who ask uncomfortable questions names, such as “ultracrepidarians” or “anti-vaxxers” smacks of bigotry and arrogance. The scientific quest continues and progresses as we push back frontiers of knowledge (centuries of vaccine dogma seem to have escaped this progress) only to realize that the more things we discover, the more we realize there are many more things we don’t know. To prevent questions to fluorish (including seemingly stupid ones) is to prevent the progress of science. In fact, history tells us that suppression of critical questions on the issue of vaccines has created and perpetrated unscientific authoritarian policies pertaining to vaccinations over many decades that has worsened in the face of the present Covid-19 “pandemic”. Apparent urgency and necessity do not justify unscientific and authoritarian measures to confront a pandemic. Judgement of urgency and necessity by an elite few, prodded perhaps by status quo “experts”, even in the name of national security, do not justify irrational lockdowns and suspension of basic human rights and individual liberties. Power, privilege, fame and expertise do not confer the right to suppress contrary facts and opinions.
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from Dr. Geert Vanden Bossche
Jan. 3, 2024
While preparing for the big bang, I felt compelled to share the attached article with the world. The intended audience primarily includes all scientists, public health authorities, medical doctors and so-called ‘experts’ who are still naïve or ignorant enough to believe that Covid-19 vaccine boosters can recall virus-neutralizing antibodies and therefore ensure prolonged protection against Covid-19 disease.
I am genuinely stunned at their intellectual laziness. Had they conducted thorough research, they would know what I know, which is that nothing has been more predictable than that mass vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 was doomed to breed more infectious immune escape variants, eventually leading to the dominant spread of a highly infectious variant capable of causing severe vaccine breakthrough infections in highly C-19 vaccinated populations (while sparing the unvaccinated).
I no longer care at this point whether this scientific and medical elite will even read the conclusions of my detailed immunological analysis. What is crucial now is that the scientific facts and truths behind this experiment are unequivocally documented in writing, leaving no room for excuses based on either naivety or willful ignorance. Their behavior has not only insulted the integrity of science but has also dealt a sledgehammer blow to those who got the jabs. History will undoubtedly remember their intellectual ignorance and moral indifference for many generations to come.
Best regards,
Geert
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