Saturday, May 09, 2009

Summer crops and global cooling

Despite the obvious cooling experienced by the Earth in general and the Philippines in particular, traditional news media is still bombarded by global warming rhetorics. One news report, for instance, appears like this:


Mango yield may drop on climate woes

Written by Jennifer A. Ng / Reporter

Friday, 08 May 2009 01:00

MANGO producers anticipate their output for 2009 to drop down by at least 15 percent year-on-year to 650,000 metric tons (MT) because of climate change.

In a interview, Mango Product Exporters Confederation Inc. (MPECI) president Roberto Amores said early and intermittent rains, as well as the early onset of the typhoon season, would have a significant impact on mango production this year.

“In 2008, production was at 750,000 MT. Because of early rains, production was adversely affected. [The sector] would improve only if the weather improves and post production technology is properly applied with the assistance of the Department of Agriculture,” Amores told reporters....

The news reporter is my friend, so I wrote her. I explained that it's not only mangos, but almost all summer crops -- tomatoes, water melon, corn, peanuts, onions, etc. -- will be adversely affected by the early onset of rains. Tourism is affected already. Some people are afraid to go to island resorts like Bohol or Boracay because of fear of flight cancellations and typhoons.

But the climate change that people always refer to is global warming. In truth,
climate change = global warming or global cooling.
Currently, it's global cooling, not warming.
Global cooling, as measured in declining global temperatures, started in 1999, after the peak of 1998 warming era. Temperature rose again in 2002-03, but still lower than 98 level. Cooling became more pronounced in 2008 -- hence the early onset of supertyphoons like one that hit Zambales-western Pangasinan in mid-May, then typhoon Frank that hit Panay island, southern Bicol provinces.

Cooling this year is worse than last year. Some astronomers and climate scientists are talking of the Earth approaching the "Dalton Minimum" that occured 2 centuries ago, where there was massive crop failures and mass hunger -- too much snow, too much rain -- this year and the next few years. But such hypothesis is still being tested with lots of data.

It is important to dispel the global warming hysteria because it is no longer true. So much of our energy and resources are spent on preparing for global warming, on fighting a non-existent enemy, because of IPCC's wrong projections. it's one good case of climate science becoming political science.

So many global meetings, post-Kyoto procotol, cap and trade schemes, creation of provincial, national and regional or international task force on climate change, requiring vehicles to use part ethanol and biodisel, converting agri lands into ethanol and biodiesel farms, etc.

If current cooling will worsen, then later we will be encouraged to produce more carbon emission, to produce more GHGs.

That will be an ironical situation. But that won't happen. So many governments, NGOs, companies, even scientists, have already taken huge personal and political stake in global warming hysteria. There is big money and big power that will be removed from them if the world will realize that all those warming preparations and political schemes are not true.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

Yep. You are right. It is global cooling now. Give the media/government/academic machine another decade or so and they will catch on