Showing posts with label New Asia Republic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label New Asia Republic. Show all posts

Friday, June 03, 2011

Governance and Public Debt in Asia

(This is my guest article today in the New Asia Republic)

There are many indicators and definitions of what constitutes good or bad governance in a particular country; for example, the global corruption perception index and rankings alluding to the ease of doing business with and within that country. For this NAR project and contribution, this brief paper will provide another definition without necessarily saying that all other indicators like those mentioned above are not useful or important. This par1ticular definition offered by this paper is:

Good Governance = Less Public Debt

Conversely, it can be defined that Bad Governance = More Public Debt. So, why did this paper choose this particular, narrower (but not necessarily shallower) definition of governance? For the simple reason that being in perennial debt means that a person, a corporation, or a government is continually living beyond its means, i.e. they spend more than their income, and do so on a regular basis. For governments, that means doling out increased amounts of welfare, subsidies and entitlements even if domestic revenues are not enough.

The annual difference of this “living beyond its means” phenomenon for governments is called a budget deficit, meaning revenues are lower than expenditures. The deficit is financed by borrowings, foreign and domestic. The accumulation of such government borrowings constitute public debt.

Incurring debt is understandable in cases of emergencies. Say a family member is terribly sick and requires expensive treatment, or in cases of important investments, private or public, which are supposed to enable the debtor to become more productive over the long term and not only be able to pay back the debt but have surplus resources later.

Let us review first the data for Europe and North America. Then compare the numbers with those in Asia-Pacific.

It does not look good that those rich countries that provide huge funds to the UN and the big foreign aid bodies like the World Bank (WB), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Asian Development Bank (ADB) are themselves heavily indebted. The money that they contribute for those multilateral institutions for lending to poorer countries or countries in deep fiscal crisis, in effect, are also borrowed money.

Having sustained high public debt that persists and increases over the decades, is nothing but fiscal irresponsibility of the governments of those countries spanning various administrations and leadership.

Take note also that the trend from 2009 to 2011 espouses a rising public debt, except in Switzerland and Sweden. This culture of indebtedness, along with policies leading to excessive spending and borrowing, has acquired its own momentum. This constitutes bad governance as current resources are being siphoned off to pay for the excesses and wastes of the past.

The implication of succumbing to high public debt relative to GDP size is that interest expense rises as a result. Money that could be used for various social services is diverted to paying off the debt. However, this may not be a big problem for Singapore and Japan since interest rates there are very low; besides, many banks and lenders are government-owned and controlled banks and other financial institutions. This ensures that the bulk of government interest expense also goes back to the government one way or another.

We now turn to Asia-Pacific countries; East Asia and South Asia in particular. Singapore and Hong Kong, which both have small populations but are considered the tiger economies of the continent, are highlighted. It is interesting to make a comparison between these two economies because while both compete almost neck to neck in various international studies and surveys on economic freedom or economic competitiveness index every year, their level of public debt is extremely disparate.

Unlike in the Europe-North America instance of rising trend in debt/GDP ratio, the case is different in Asia-Pacific. The ratio is declining except for in Japan, Myanmar, New Zealand, Cambodia and Australia (rising trend), and Malaysia and Vietnam (flat trend).

Take note of Singapore’s public debt last year – 97.2 percent of GDP versus Hong Kong’s minuscule 4.8 percent of GDP. And while the trend in Singapore is towards a declining rate in the coming years, still the ratio is high, projected at 88 percent of GDP by 2013.

Singapore seems to be following the Japanese “model” of high public debt and more welfare, although most of its debt was borrowed locally (ie, domestic debt). Hong Kong and China adhere to similar models of low public debt and fast economic growth.

Paying off high public debt with more current and future taxation is bad governance. It is squeezing more money and resources from the pockets and savings of the more industrious and more efficient individuals and private enterprises in the economy, in order to sustain the profligate ways of the government bureaucracies and the political class, as well as the bottomless demand for welfare by some government-dependent sectors of the economy.

Governments most definitely have plenty of assets and properties; for example, several dozens, if not hundreds (or thousands), of government-owned and controlled corporations (GOCCs) and government financial institutions (GFIs) including banks.

They also tend to own vast tracts of land including huge military camps, in both urban and rural areas. Privatization of such GOCCs, GFIs, public lands and portions of military camps can significantly reduce and ultimately retire the burdensome public debt. It can also spare taxpayers of more forcible transfer of money from their pockets to the government coffers.

Unfortunately, privatisation seems to be a far-out solution in the minds of most public administrators in many countries. That constitutes another round of bad governance and fiscal irresponsibility.

It is important that advocates of individual liberty and free market should stand their ground and fight endless efforts by the political class to continue expanding governments, the latter of which results in ever-rising public debt and in turn will then require more taxes and forcible contributions today and tomorrow.


This article is part of the New Asia Republic Editorial Series “Global Perspectives on Good Governance” under Special Projects. The series features the views of people who hold political office, those working in NGOs, military brass, academics and the man on the street from all over the world to shed light on what constitutes good governance and interpretations of the idea based on the unique socio-political and historical culture of any given country/state.

Wednesday, May 11, 2011

Inequality 5: Comments to Why Inequality is Good

My earlier paper, Why inequality is good as originally posted in www.thelobbyist.biz , was reposted by some friends. At least two in facebook, by friends Ronald White and Joshua Lipana. It was also posted by the New Asia Republic (Singapore-based online paper) and as of this writing, attracted 10 comments there including my own comments.

Let me enumerate again my arguments “Why inequality is good”.

1. Because it respects and rewards hard work, efficiency and ambition.

2. There are people who have little or zero ambition in life. To drink and party everyday, to rely on some outside support for their continued existence are their joys and complacency.

3. Between the two, inequality is sure to happen in the short term, and such inequality will widen over the long term.

4. “The rapid economic advance that we have come to expect seems in a large measure to be the result of this inequality and to be impossible without it.”

5. Government welfare and entitlement programs that are meant to reduce inequality and improve equality among the people are mostly unproductive.

6. “All obstacles to the rise of some are, in the long run, obstacles to the rise of all… To prevent progress at the top would soon prevent it all the way down.”

7. Government policies of institutionalizing forced equality penalizes hard work, performance and being ambitious.

8. When the poor and initially less ambitious see that there are less entitlements coming, they will become more self-driven and independent, and society can progress faster.


(Note: #s 4 and 6 above are quotes from Friedrich Hayek)

Here are two long comments:

(1) from Excuse me?? -- If the author’s polemic holds true, then the elites of society should let their children fend for themselves in the third world, is this not the best way to learn??

Showing Compassion to our fellow men “are incentives to remain poor” really?

Please read, Milton Friedman and the Social Responsibility of Businesss. 
Look what pure capitalism and minimal Gov did to Chile and Argentina in the 70/80s?
This is Darwinian economics nightmare come to life
http://www.thedailybanter.com/tdb/latin-america/

And the naughty title “Why inequality is good”. Try telling it to the 3 billion human beings without clean water!


I replied to him/her that the elites of society, the middle class of society, work hard to give their kids a good future. They don’t over-drink, over-smoke, over-fight, have horrible life and leave their kids to fend for themselves. The desire to give their kids a good future is an incentive for them to excel, to work long hours, to be efficient.

Look at N. Korea, Myanmar, Zimbabwe, Congo, etc. They want to have an equal society, they got it. People are equal, equally poor, except the top officials of the Communist Party and the dictatorial governments. The pursuit of forced equality created unintended, totally opposite results.

Here is a much longer comment.
(2) from Alex Ang -- The common citizens in Communist and dictatorial governments are probably as you claim, “equally poor”. However they are certainly not politically equal to their “masters”. The inequality is thus a result of political structure coupled with entrenched corruption within the economy.

Furthermore, your analogy of a Communist country as an equal but failed society falls far from the argument for inequality. Infact Ludwig Von Mises term the issue as a “calculation problem”. The problem with Communism’s planned economy does not lie in the advocation of equality, but the ineptness of central planners to rationally allocate resources when compared to the price mechanism.

In your essay, you claim that a welfare state promotes a more equal society but leads to sloth among its dependents. However you use a dictatorial government as an example in your comment. It is a general fact that dictatorial countries does not have a coherent welfare system- it is a cause of the poverty you mentioned earlier among citizens. Here is the point where logic contradicts: if dictatorial governments does not advocate welfare for its citizens, wouldn’t the society be better off as your essay argues? Why are many there so many poor counries with dictatotrial rule then? In a word of fairness, it could be because they implemented a central planning system along side a lack of welfare. But suely the lack of welfare will have spurred its citizens to work and produce more illustriously- as your logic claims – leading to a much higher overall level of GDP?

Although Austrian and Chicago schools tirelessly advocate the free market, they forget one simple fact: free markets never exist in reality. That is why externalities and free rider problems are taught in basic economics. They act as warnings and safeguards against the seduction and captivity to beautiful and attractive theories. I am not against the free market. In fact the Austrian and Chicago ideas are good models to start with in building our understanding of how real life economics works. However when economists stop refining the models to match reality, it becomes as dangerous as it is intellectually dishonest...

We need to rethink what encompasses a “market” and model it after reality rather than to defend and propogate models as the defining solution to our economic conundrums. We need to an economics grounded in reality.

Before lambasting welfare using abstract theorem, we need to sort out a fundamental question: Are the poor really as slothful as alleged? More enquiry needs to be taken on this matter.

In order to reply to Mr. Ang's comments point-by-point, I selected five important quotes from him:


1. “The problem with Communism’s planned economy does not lie in the advocation of equality, but the ineptness of central planners to rationally allocate resources.”

2. "if dictatorial governments does not advocate welfare for its citizens, wouldn’t the society be better off as your essay argues?"

3. “so many poor countries with dictatorial rule … because they implemented a central planning system along side a lack of welfare. But surely the lack of welfare will have spurred its citizens to work and produce more…”

4. “free markets never exist in reality. That is why externalities and free rider problems are taught in basic economics.”

5. “Are the poor really as slothful as alleged? More enquiry needs to be taken on this matter.”


Here now are my counter-comments to him:

On #1. Check again ALL communist revolutions, both successful, failed and on-going. They are ALL advocating social equality , (1) like land redistribution -- confiscate the land of the rich landlords, give to the poor landless farmers. Like social or collective or communal ownership of the means of production – expropriate ownership of the rich of manufacturing plants, power plants, banks, etc., and give ownership to the workers, the farmers, the urban poor, the upland dwellers, etc.

On #2, ALL dictatorial governments advocate welfare for its citizens, at least in words and promises. The Philippines for instance, has its experience of dictatorship under the Marcos government (1965 to 1985). Within those 20 years in power, Marcos programs include (a) land reform or forced land redistribution, (b) monopolization of sugar trading, coconut trading, etc. to protect workers in the sugar and coconut industries, (c) created many new bureaucracies to provide more market regulations, more welfare to the poor, and (d) declared Martial Law, imprisoning and killing many political dissenters who criticize his programs.

On #3, The purpose of having central planning is to have central ownership by the state, central taxation by the state, central welfare and subsidy programs by the state. So ALL dictatorial and central planning governments have welfare for the poor as their main reason or alibi. The poor who usually improve their lives are those who did not depend on state welfare, but those who become micro-entrepreneurs and capitalists. Those who work in the “informal or underground” economy.

On #4, Free markets exist. ALL markets are composed of individuals – buyers and sellers, producers and consumers, rich and poor, young and old, male and female. Someone looking for a haircut for only US$1, a barber shop provides the service at such price, a market equilibrium is created where demand meets supply. Facebook, google, youtube, yahoo, etc., they all exist and thrive because people demand social networking sites, search engines, for free. They provide the services at a price demanded by the people – zero cost – and the market for social networking and search engines is created.

On #5, I did NOT say, explicitly or implicitly, in my article above that the poor are slothful. On the contrary, I did say that the lazy, the complacent and irresponsible become poor. But the poor who “become hard-working and entrepreneurial, they will become more self-driven and independent, less dependent on politicians and the state. And society can progress even faster.”
------

See also:
Inequality 1: Rich Getting Richer is Good, August 29, 2009
Inequality 2: To Each According to his Needs... September 01, 2010
Inequality 3: Freedom, Free Market and Inequality, February 14, 2011
Inequality 4: Why Inequality is Good, May 10, 2011

Monday, April 25, 2011

Asian free market websites, part 2

If improvement in alexa's global traffic ranking is one of many indicators if the free market perspective is gaining in Asia or not, then I can say that somehow we ARE gaining.

I again checked today alexa.com the global traffic rank (out of possibly a billion or more blogs and websites worldwide) of the websites of our fellow free market think tanks and groups in Asia. The geographical audience reference is a direct quote from alexa. Here they are.

1. www.cfe.org (Center for Free Enterprise, Seoul, S. Korea)
1 month 301,481
3 month 588,476

2. www.newasiarepublic.com (NAR, Singapore)
"… We estimate that 83% of the site's visitors are in Singapore, where it has attained a traffic rank of 3,529."
1 month 784,742
3 month 852,105

3. www.ccsindia.org (Center for Civil Society, Delhi, India)
"... The site has attained a traffic rank of 91,915 among users in India, where about 91% of its audience is located."
1 month 863,822
3 month 866,094

4. www.unirule.org.cn (Unirule Institute of Economics, Beijing, China)
"…We estimate that 75% of visitors to Unirule.org.cn come from China, where it has attained a traffic rank of 174,933."
1 month 1,450,959
3 month 1,028,386

5. www.freemarket.kg (Central Asian Free Market Institute, CAFMI, Bishkek, Kyrgyztan)
1 month 1,759,160
3 month 2,994,808

6. www.deas.org.my (Institute for Democracy and Economic Affairs, IDEAS, KL, Malaysia)
"…. Almost all visitors to the site come from Malaysia, where it has attained a traffic rank of 29,258."
1 month 2,991,200
3 month 2,264,898

7. www.lionrockinstitute.org (Lion Rock Institute, LRI, Hong Kong)
1 month 3,924,339
3 month 4,134,017

8. www.minimalgovernment.net (Minimal Government Thinkers, Manila, Philippines)
"...Roughly 77% of the site's visitors are in the Philippines, where it has attained a traffic rank of 73,906."
1 month 4,089,115
3 month 5,223,079

9. www.akademimerdeka.org (Freedom Institute, Jakarta, Indonesia)
1 month 5,074,539
3 month 5,953,841

10. http://azadliqciragi.org (Free Minds Association, Azerbaijan)
1 month 5,220,866
3 month 1,734,774

11. www.readtheboss.com (The Boss, Kathmandu, Nepal)
1 month 6,140,892
3 month 4,428,197

12. www.asinstitute.org (Alternate Solution Institute, Lahore, Pakistan)
1 month 6,194,792
3 month 6,183,338

13. http://efnasia.org (Economic Freedom Network-Asia, Bangkok, Thailand)
1 month 10,695,861
3 month 19,171,202

14. www.doimoi.org (Reform and Development, Hanoi, Vietnam)
1 month 15,816,260
3 month 15,130,801

15. www.indefenceofliberty.org (Liberty Institute, Delhi, India)
1 month -
3 month 22,635,351

16. www.ebi.mn (EBI, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia)
1 month -
3 month 25,668,140

Those with "No Data" yet, but are definitely free marketers:

1. http://feijapan.wordpress.com (Free Economy Institute, Tokyo, Japan)
2. www.samridhi.org (Prosperity Foundation, Kathmandu, Nepal)
3. http://lgn.org.np/ (Limited Government Nepal, Kathmandu, Nepal)

Now, comparing their global rank last April 5 this year, see my earlier review, Asian free market websites, here are the sites that jumped high in global 1-month rank in just three weeks:

a. CFE, Korea: from #562,219 up to #301,481!
b. CCS, India: from #935,512 up to #863,822
c. CAFMI, Kyrgyztan: from #3,487,932 up to #1,759,160
d. LRI, HK: from #5,327,369 up to #3,924,339
e. MGT, Philippines: from #6,521,950 up to #4,089,115
f. The Boss, Nepal: from #7,335,497 up to #6,140,892
g. FI, Indonesia: from #9,321,814 up to #5,074,539
h. ASI, Pakistan: from "no data" up to #6,194,792

Congratulations, Chung-ho Kim (CFE), Parth Shah (CCS), Michu Namazaliev (CAFMI), Peter Wong (LRI), Charu Rizal (The Boss), Luthfi Assyaukanie (FI), and Khalil Ahmad (ASI)!

A few friends' sites suffered some minor decline though.

a. NAR, Singapore: from #727,229 down to #784,742
b. Unirule, China: from #934,154 down to #1,450,959
c. FMA, Azerbaijan: from #4,726,623 down to #5,220,866
d. RD, Vietnam: from #13,856,101 down to #15,816,260

More updates in the coming weeks.

Tuesday, April 05, 2011

Asian free market websites

I personally know most of the leaders of the free market think tanks and groups in Asia. Some of these groups do not have websites yet though.

This afternoon, I checked with alexa.com the global traffic rank (out of possibly a billion or more blogs and websites worldwide) of the websites of my friends. Here they are.

1. www.cfe.org (CFE, Seoul, S. Korea)
1 month 562,219
3 month 975,89

2. www.newasiarepublic.com (NAR, Singapore)
"… We estimate that 83% of the site's visitors are in Singapore, where it has attained a traffic rank of 3,529."
1 month 727,229
3 month 955,756

3. www.unirule.org.cn (Unirule, Beijing, China)
"…We estimate that 63% of visitors to Unirule.org.cn come from China, where it has attained a traffic rank of 139,641."
1 month 934,154
3 month 1,002,001

4. www.ccsindia.org (CCS, Delhi, India)
"... The site has attained a traffic rank of 100,748 among users in India, where about 89% of its audience is located."
1 month 935,512
3 month 882,876

5. www.deas.org.my (IDEAS, KL, Malaysia)
"…. Almost all visitors to the site come from Malaysia, where it has attained a traffic rank of 22,024"
1 month 2,267,858
3 month 2,221,634

6. www.freemarket.kg (CAFMI, Bishkek, Kyrgyztan)
1 month 3,487,932
3 month 5,143,729

7. http://azadliqciragi.org (Free Minds Association, Azerbaijan)
1 month 4,726,623
3 month 1,863,469

8. www.lionrockinstitute.org (LRI, Hong Kong)
1 month 5,327,369
3 month 4,275,359

9. www.minimalgovernment.net (MGT, Manila, Philippines)
1 month 6,521,950
3 month 6,007,220

10. www.readtheboss.com (The Boss, Kathmandu, Nepal)
1 month 7,335,497
3 month 4,288,41

11. www.akademimerdeka.org (Freedom Institute, Jakarta, Indonesia)
1 month 9,321,814
3 month 7,488,574

12. www.doimoi.org (Reform and Development, Hanoi, Vietnam)
1 month 13,856,101
3 month 17,559,789

13. www.asinstitute.org (AS Institute, Lahore, Pakistan)
1 month -
3 month 9,150,947

14. www.samridhi.org (Prosperity Foundation, Kathmandu, Nepal)
1 month -
3 month 16,607,890

15. www.indefenceofliberty.org (Liberty Institute, Delhi, India)
1 month -
3 month 17,213,858

16. www.ebi.mn (EBI, Ulanbaatar, Mongolia)
1 month -
3 month 25,249,798

This is not a complete list. There may be other free market think tanks and groups in our continent that I am not aware of. Besides, some of those groups and think tanks that I know do not have websites yet, or acquiring a new website after encountering some problems with their old sites.

Unlike in North America and Europe where there are plenty of liberty- and free market-oriented think tanks, groups and publications, there are just a few in Asia. But nonetheless, these groups and individuals are showing their presence, expressing their views, in our respective countries and the rest of the world wide web.