Sunday, April 03, 2022

Energy 163, Impact of sanctions on energy supply in Germany, rest of Europe

Germany, the home of Benz and BMW, Audi and Porsche, Bosch and Siemens, SAP and Adidas, soon will be into gas rationing. Also the biggest economy of Europe now tells its people to wear warmer jackets to endure cold weather instead of electric heating from big thermal and nuke plants.

These are some of the unintended effects of the US-led economic sanctions vs Russia. See various reports here, enjoy.
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Blackouts in Germany in 2022? The risk from dependence on Russian energy
March 19, 2022
https://www.expaturm.com/featured/blackouts-in-germany-in-2022/

"Government warns companies of MEGA blackouts in Germany!

The Federal Network Agency in Germany is currently in talks with major industries on “crisis preparation” for “unavoidable shutdowns” in a gas supply crisis.

Being discussed is the high demand for energy within individual industries and which companies should be given preference in an emergency when it comes to gas supply."

Belgium postpones nuclear phase-out by 10 years
March 22, 2022
https://blackout-news.de/aktuelles/belgien-verschiebt-atomausstieg-um-10-jahre/

Like Germany, Belgium has also decided to phase out nuclear energy. The last of the seven nuclear power plants should go offline by the end of 2025. Due to the energy crisis, the government has now decided to let two of the reactors run 10 years longer than originally planned. The reason given is the drastically increased energy prices in connection with the Ukraine war. The act operator Engie was surprised by the government's short-term change of course and expressed concerns.

As Energy System Comes Apart, Germany Now Preparing Emergency Natural Gas Rationing Plans
By P Gosselin on 22. March 2022
https://notrickszone.com/2022/03/22/as-its-energy-system-comes-apart-germany-now-preparing-emergency-gas-rationing-plans/

In the event of a gas supply stop from Russia, the gas volume is reduced to deliveries from Norway and the Netherlands. However, the supplies from these countries would be difficult to transport through the gas network to the east and south of Germany. Therefore, industrial companies in these regions would probably be the first to get no more natural gas in the event of a bottleneck.

Coal again the most important energy source
March 23, 2022
https://blackout-news.de/aktuelles/kohle-wieder-wichtigster-energietraeger/

According to the latest data from the Federal Statistical Office, conventional power plants generated 57.6 percent of the electricity consumed in Germany in 2021 . That is a good 5 percent more than in the previous year. Conventional power plants include hard coal and lignite power plants, nuclear power plants and gas power plants. The share of renewable energies from wind, sun, water and biogas fell to 42.4 percent compared to 47.1 percent in 2020.

Putin Says “Hostile” States Should Pay In Rubles For Russian Natural Gas
By Charles Kennedy - Mar 23, 2022
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Putin-Says-Hostile-States-Should-Pay-In-Rubles-For-Russian-Natural-Gas.html

Since the west is generally successful in restricting their domestic oil gas production and relied on imports from Russia oil gas, they will be obliged. If they don't, this can happen...

As Energy System Comes Apart, Germany Now Preparing Emergency Natural Gas Rationing Plans
By P Gosselin on 22. March 2022
https://notrickszone.com/2022/03/22/as-its-energy-system-comes-apart-germany-now-preparing-emergency-gas-rationing-plans/


https://www.visualcapitalist.com/visualizing-the-eus-energy-dependency/

Not enough electricity at Deutsche Bahn – freight trains have to stop
March 26, 2022
https://blackout-news.de/nicht-kategorisiert-de/nicht-genug-strom-bei-der-deutschen-bahn-gueterzuege-muessen-stehen-bleiben/

On the morning of March 23rd there was a massive power shortage in the Deutsche Bahn power grid . Because not enough electricity was available, Deutsche Bahn stopped a large part of the freight traffic on the rails in large parts of Germany. According to the traction current operator DB Energie, due to maintenance work in various power plants and an unforeseeable power plant failure, there was a massive undersupply in the Deutsche Bahn power grid.

Germany girds for gas rationing, Europe on edge in Russian standoff
By Joseph Nasr and Vera Eckert  March 30, 2022
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/germany-declares-early-warning-potential-gas-supply-disruptions-2022-03-30/.

Government Minister Tells Germans to Cope With Soaring Energy Costs by Wearing Warmer Sweaters
29 March, 2022 Paul Joseph Watson
https://summit.news/2022/03/29/government-minister-tells-germans-to-cope-with-soaring-energy-costs-by-wearing-warmer-sweaters/

And for the rest of Europe, diesel rationing.

Rationing Looms As Diesel Crisis Goes Global
By Irina Slav - Mar 27, 2022
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Rationing-Looms-As-Diesel-Crisis-Goes-Global.html

All these are necessary to "save the planet", yes?

And all caused by Putin, not self-inflicted wrong policies, yes?

And the US-led sanctions not to blame, only the invader from Kremlin, yes? 

More on impact of economic sanctions vs Russia, and Russia demand of being paid only in rubles for its energy exports. It seems Europe and Germany in particular is the main loser in the US-led sanctions. Europe has been listening too much to Al Gore, the UN, and that Swedish media-obsessed HS dropout that Europe under-invested in their own fossil fuel devt for decades and relied on energy imports from Russia.

Europe's energy crisis sends shockwaves through Germany's industrial heart
March 31, 2022
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/europes-energy-crisis-sends-shockwaves-through-germanys-industrial-heart-2022-03-31/

"Moscow's invasion of Ukraine has highlighted Germany's heavy reliance on Russian gas - Russia accounted for 55% of Germany's gas imports in 2021.

Alternative supplies won't come cheap or fast. Berlin has warned it could take until mid-2024 until Germany can live without Russian gas."

Energy Crisis: A Solution Must Be Found! JF-TV with Michael Limburg
Axel Robert Göhring | Mar 31, 2022 
https://eike-klima-energie.eu/2022/03/31/energiekrise-es-muss-eine-loesung-her-jf-tv-mit-michael-limburg/

In an interview in JF issue 14/22, Trigema boss Wolfgang Grupp describes how the rising prices are affecting German companies. The price of natural gas has increased eightfold, according to Grupp, who can no longer rule out a standstill in production in Germany. And demands: "A solution has to be found!" In the current issue of JF-TV, energy expert Limburg explains how it came about in the first place, what errors, but also what ideologies are behind it and what such a solution could look like.

Without Russian energy sources, there is a risk of a 10-year recession
March 31, 2022
https://blackout-news.de/aktuelles/ohne-russische-energietraeger-drohen-10-jahre-rezession/

A  study by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW)  shows the consequences of an embargo on Russian energy sources for the German economy. In Germany, without oil and gas from Russia, there will be a long-lasting recession . The decline in economic growth could extend over a period of more than ten years. This is associated with closures of companies and a significant increase in unemployment.

German industry: Gas rationing plan would cripple economy
https://www.dw.com/en/german-industry-gas-rationing-plan-would-cripple-economy/a-61302394

German Chemical Giant Warns Of "Total Collapse" If Russian Gas Supply Cut
APR 01, 2022 - 04:29 AM
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/basf-ceo-warns-germany-total-collapse-if-russian-gas-supply-cut

"To put it bluntly: This could bring the German economy into its worst crisis since the end of the Second World War and destroy our prosperity. For many small and medium-sized companies in particular, it could mean the end. We can't risk that!...

"a catastrophe and we will feel it even more clearly next year than this one. Because most of the fertilizers that the farmers need this year have already been bought. In 2023 there will be a shortage, and then the poor countries in particular, for example in Africa, will no longer be able to afford to buy basic foodstuffs." In a very alarming statement and forewarning, he added: "There is a risk of famine."

German economy minister raises warning level for gas supplies
https://www.dw.com/en/german-economy-minister-raises-warning-level-for-gas-supplies/a-61300264

Germany Now Finds Itself In A Desperate Energy Situation. An Urgent Letter To The Federal Government
By P Gosselin on 1. April 2022
https://notrickszone.com/2022/04/01/germany-now-finds-itself-in-a-desperate-energy-situation-an-urgent-letter-to-the-federal-government/

Green Party leader and Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck’s is waking up, his bows and entreaties in Qatar aren’t helping – the small country in the Persian Gulf is booked up and won’t be able to supply more liquid natural gas until 2025 at the earliest. It is bizarre to see his desperation to demand that the natural gas storage facilities be 90 percent full by the fall... 

16 of 19 nuclear power stations have been closed

The destructive work of the Greens and Socialists (including those actively assisting them in the CDU) has been thoroughly successful... the past weeks show it drastically: no wind – no electricity from the wind turbines. Anyone who relies on wind power and the green energy transition has been abandoned.

Meanwhile, this is a funny comment from UN Sec Gen. Antonio Guterres, a former leader of Portugal Socialist Party, and pre-lockdowns a frequent jet setter using lots of fossil fuels, lambasting fossil fuels, 

UN Secretary General Guterres Calls Coal Investment “Stupid”
By Irina Slav - Mar 22, 2022, 9:30 AM CDT
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/UN-Secretary-General-Guterres-Calls-Coal-Investment-Stupid.html
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See also:
Energy 160, ESG, Net zero, Gas power, and Electric vehicles, February 07, 2022
Energy 161, No Tricks Zone on Europe energy situation, e-cars, February 24, 2022
Energy 162, Russia fossil fuels trade, random notes, March 25, 2022.

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