Climate Tricks 49, No extreme weather, no severe storms in the past?

This is the continuation of my presentation at the Energy Policy Development Program (EPDP) Conference 2016, held at New World Hotel Makati last January 12-13, this week.

Here is Section II of the 6-sections presentation.

Other cases in Asia.

 This slide about the Philippines, I rearranged into a portrait format. And take note: November 2014, storm Haiyan (locally called "Yolanda") killed 7,000+ people in Leyte, especially in the capital city Tacloban. In November 1912 or 102 years prior, an estimated 15,000 people died also in Leyte due to severe storm.

The UN, other foreign aid bodies, various governments around the world, the big environmental NGOs, they will  continue that large-scale and global deception and dishonesty that recent extreme flooding and rains were "unprecedented." Because they aim for one goal -- more government. More global ecological  central planning.

Enjoy more archive stories here,  https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/below350-org/.
Yes, when CO2 concentration in the planet was below 350 parts per  million (ppm) and not 400+ ppm current level.
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See also:

Climate Tricks 45, On "vanishing" snow and "Godzilla" El Nino, November 13, 2015 

Climate Tricks 46, More alarmism --> more climate money expectation --> more disappointment, December 12, 2015
Climate Tricks 47, Severe UK flooding due to "man-made" warming, climate change? December 30, 2015 

Climate Tricks 48, Denying climate cycles, January 13, 2016

Climate Tricks 8: Catastrophic Scare for Climate Money

Here is another proof that the catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) is mainly about money-money.

A bill in Philippine Congress, called the "People's Survival Fund" (PSF) bill, authored by Cong. Erin Tanada et al in the lower House, and Sen. Loren Legarda and other Senators in the upper Chamber, wants to distribute millions, or billions of pesos of tax money to local governments and possibly environmental NGOs to improve climate change adaptation and mitigation. This is on top of existing "fight climate change" laws and programs. The bill will also create a new bureaucracy, the PSF Board, under a new bureaucracy, the Climate Change Commission (CCC).

And why so? This news was written and published in December 2007, suggesting that by end of summer this year, ie, around 3rd week of September 2012 or just four months from now, the Arctic will be ice-free. Scary.

Original source: http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/12/071212-AP-arctic-melt.html

Reposted in:  http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/05/12/the-arctic-ocean-could-be-nearly-ice-free-at-the-end-of-summer-by-2012/#more-63430

This prognosis is similar to another prediction made in January 2007 saying that up to 4.5 billion people could this this year due to "global warming-related causes" -- so guys, take cover! See, Climate Tricks 1: 4.5 Billion People to Die This Year, January 03, 2012.

Meanwhile, here are more recent stories from more realistic, non-alarmist climate change analysis.

Earth Hour 5: Celebrating Darkness is not Wise

Darkness is cool if you're in some far flung areas and want to commune with nature -- the fireflies, the infinite stars on a cloudless night, listen to various sounds of animals and bugs like frogs and crickets, and so on. But if you're in urban areas or in places where work is impossible without electricity (hospitals, malls, offices, etc.), darkness and power outage is a curse.

Now a big environmental NGO has spread a new fashion of turning off lights one hour each year, called the "Earth Hour" (EH) by the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), and many people around the world have rejoiced at their initiative. But their biggest fans actually are in North Korea and many cities in Africa. There, people have no electricity many hours a day, 365 days a year. They have very power plants and oil-fed generators that emit lots of CO2 that contributes to global warming and climate change. So the guys there are great saviors of the planet.

Before going to the EH campaign, I will post 3 brief papers from 3 different sources about the recent global temperature, the role of clouds on global temperature and climate (hey, it's been almost 3 weeks of cloudy sky here, sometimes rainy days, in the supposedly dry-hot-summer month of March), and Arctic sea ice extent. Is it true that the speed of ice melt there will soon result in an "ice-free" Arctic summer in just a few years?

This is a bit long post, so get your popcorn or sandwich and favorite drinks :-)
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(1) http://www.Real-Science.com/winter-that-wasnt-was-the-coldest-since-1993

“Winter That Wasn’t” Was The Coldest Since 1993

Posted on March 29, 2012 by Steven Goddard

Time Magazine called this past winter “the winter that wasn’t.” So did Joe Romm and lots of other insular global warming rednecks in the US.

Satellite data shows that winter 2011-2012 was the coldest globally since 1993, and eighth coldest on record.

www.remss.com/data/msu/monthly_time_series/RSS_Monthly_MSU_AMSU_Channel_TLT_Anomalies_Land_and_Ocean_v03_3.txt

(2) http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2012/03/new-paper-shows-clouds-have-negative.html

MONDAY, MARCH 26, 2012

New paper shows clouds have a significant negative feedback on temperature

A paper published last week in the Journal of Climate utilized satellite measurements to demonstrate that European hot summers since the 1980s are associated with a reduction in cloudiness. These observations corroborate other recent papers showing that clouds exert a negative feedback on global warming. Alarmists [such as the 'Skeptical Science' site here] hypothesize that clouds exert a net positive-feedback leading to a 'runaway greenhouse effect', but observational data from multiple papers* have shown that clouds instead exert a strong net negative-feedback cooling effect on the climate.

*Lindzen & Choi, Spencer & Braswell, Allen, Tang et al [below], others

Journal of Climate 2012 ; e-View

doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00040.1

European hot summers associated with a reduction of cloudiness

Qiuhong Tang¹

Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Guoyong Leng

Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Pavel Ya. Groisman

National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC, United States

Abstract

A pronounced summer warming is observed in Europe since the 1980s that has Been accompanied with an increase in the occurrence of heat waves. Water deficit that strongly reduces surface latent cooling is a widely accepted explanation for the causes of hot summers. We show that the variance of European summer temperature is partly explained by changes in summer cloudiness. Using observation-based products of climate variables, satellite-derived cloud cover and radiation products, we show that during the 1984-2007 period Europe has become less cloudy (except of northeastern Europe) and the regions east of Europe have become cloudier in summer daytime. In response,the summer temperatures increased in the areas of total cloud cover decrease, and stalled or declined in the areas of cloud cover increase.Trends in the surface shortwave radiation are generally positive (negative) in the regions with summer warming (cooling or stalled warming), while the signs of trends in top-of-atmosphere (TOA) reflected shortwave radiation are reversed. Our results suggest that total cloud cover is either the important local factor influencing the summer temperature changes in Europe or a 

major indicator of these changes.

(2) http://www.drroyspencer.com/2012/03/could-arctic-sea-ice-decline-be-caused-by-the-arctic-oscillation/

Could Arctic Sea Ice Decline be Caused by the Arctic Oscillation?

March 22nd, 2012 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

While the IPCC claims that recent Arctic sea ice declines are the result of human-caused warming, there is also convincing observational evidence that natural cycles in atmospheric circulation patterns might also be involved.

And unless we know how much of the decline is natural, I maintain we cannot know how much is human-caused.

In 2002, a paper was published in the Journal of Climate entitled Response of Sea Ice to the Arctic Oscillation, where the authors (one of whom, Mike Wallace, was a co-discoverer of the AO) shows that changing wind patterns associated with the AO contributed to Arctic sea ice declines from one decade to the next: from 1979-1988 to 1989-1998.

The Arctic Oscillation involves sea level pressure patterns over the Arctic Ocean, North Atlantic, and North Pacific. Since sea ice moves around with the wind (see this movie example), sea level pressure patterns can either expose or cover various sections of the Arctic Ocean.

When there are many winters in a row with high (or low) pressure, it can affect sea ice cover on decadal time scales. Over time, ice can become more extensive and thicker, or less extensive and thinner.

There is a time lag involved in all of this, as discussed in the above paper. So, to examine the potential cumulative effect of the AO, I made the following plot of cumulative values of the winter (December-January-February) AO (actually, their departures from the long-term average) since 1900. I’ve attached a spreadsheet with the data for those interested, updated through this past winter.

Climate stupidity 18: Warming causes more storms and less storms, Typhoon Ondoy Photos

Today is two years anniversary of typhoon "Ondoy" (international name "Ketsana") which flooded so many places in Metro Manila and neighboring provinces. And today, a wide typhoon "Pedring" (international name "Nesat"), this year's 16th tropical storm in the country, has dumped lots of rain in so many provinces from Region 5 (Bicol) all the way up to Regions 1 (Ilocos) and 2 (Cagayan Valley).

Last week September 19, a friend from Bangkok wrote,

At this time about half of the 77 provinces of Thailand are under water. In Chiang Mai area there used to be flooding once a year. But since 2006 I noted that the flooding in there became something like five times a year. This year, I heard from one community in the lower north that they had suffered from flood already eight times this year.

Let me show a few graphs on the current status and projections of equatorial Pacific Nino region 3.4. Data from WUWT's ENSO page

Upper graph is actual temperature anomaly for Nino 3.4, where La Nina has officially returned. Extended global cooling.

Lower graph shows projections of where the current La Nina is headed to in the next few months. Well, it's headed to more cooling, with a temperature anomaly of around -2.5 C (negative means "colder than normal") sometime around March 2012,

Upper graph is temperature anomaly for Nino 4, the region closest to East Asia. It's also showing a resumption of cooling after a brief pause a few months ago.

Lower graph shows where those Nino regions are. Same data source as mentioned above.

Next graphs below would refer to the overall Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Data are from WUWT's Oceanic Oscillation page

Upper graph is from climate4you.com. The same trend of declining temperature anomaly is observed over the past 30+ years.

Lower graph is from US Department of Commerce's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 1950 to present. The global cooling from the 50s to the 70s is clearly shown here.

Finally, data on Global Tropical Cyclone Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), 1972 to Present. Data from WUWT's Tropical Cyclone page.

The AGW literature and fiction says that as the planet becomes warmer and warmer, the occurrence of more extreme events like more tropical storms and typhoons will intensify. This is not shown in this graph. On the contrary, there is a decline in both number and ACE of tropical storms over the past few years.

So long AGW fiction. Nature simply dooes not show what you wish to see to continue your large-scale public miseducation and climate alarmism.
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Last March 03, 2011 I posted this text below. I am attaching some pictures during typhoon "Ondoy" two years ago.

I am re-posting here a short but wacky summary of the seemingly "irrefutable" laws of climate change by Steven Goddard. I regularly follow his blog, along with WUWT, Dr. Roy Spencer, and NTZ.

Important Laws Of Climate Change

Posted on March 2, 2011 by Steven Goddard

* Cold weather is not climate

* The US occupies a tiny fraction of the earth’s surface

* Hot weather in Moscow is representative of the planet

* If the present refuses to get warmer, adjust it upwards
* If the present refuses to get warmer, the past must become cooler

* GISS can always squeeze an extra 0.01 degrees out when marketing needs it
* Cold is just another manifestation of heat
* Whatever the weather is, the climate models predicted it
* Government funding is pure. Imaginary oil money is dirty

* All coral atolls were exactly 130 meters above sea level at the end of the last ice age, and are about to drown now
* Sea level is rising dramatically – somewhere else
* Temperatures are rising dramatically – somewhere else
* Global warming selectively targets the poor
* The weather is much more extreme now than it was before 24 hour cable news service started
* When CO2 hits XXX ppm, the poop is really going to hit the fan.