Showing posts with label Marites Danguilan Vitug. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Marites Danguilan Vitug. Show all posts

Monday, September 30, 2013

Sovereign Wealth Fund from Malampaya Gas

A friend based in Tokyo, Jules, sent me his random thoughts to create a Sovereign Wealth Fund out of government royalties from the Malampaya Natural Gas in offshore Palawan. Here are Jules' random thoughts:

1. Have a 15 years moratorium on spending anything from the  fund from the start of lunch, to discourage current officials in government from messing with it.

2. Let the fund be managed by Professionals in the investment business.

3. Have it earmarked solely for the "future:"
a. spending for young children (0-12 years) for primary health care and education.  and
 b. projects that mitigate any effects that mining or similar extractive activities have on the environment.
4. Setting a spending cap of only 75 percent at most of the net earnings from the investments, the balance of 25 percent to be further added to the principal.

5. A competitive bidding for projects to be funded, both private sector and government agencies can participate.

6. Have a bidding committee composed mostly of volunteers from institutions like churches (INC, Catholic, Protestants, Born Again, Islamic institutions) and  perhaps experts from the academe.

7. Set in place a monthly reporting/updating system on liquidating expenses that can be viewed publicly through social networks

8. East Timor, which became a sate only in 2005(?) has already a huge Sovereign Wealth Fund in billions of dollars from their Petroleum industry. Even Singapore which has no extractive industry has huge Sovereign Wealth Fund.

9. The 15 years moratorium can be extended to 20 or 25 years. Long term investing generates more consistent results if you look at historical returns of most indexes. This practically takes the current generation away from the funds. It is for the future generation.

I can support that proposal, thanks Jules. The current generation can be supported by existing revenues, public and private, and endless borrowings by the government. It is the future generation of Filipinos who have been compromised by the past and present political administrations via high and rising public debt stock and rising interest payment. If improperly managed further, it can generate a huge fiscal crisis someday.

But the intent of the law must be respected, that only energy-related projects should be funded from it. Then the fund should be used to develop more energy sources. When electricity supply is stable and affordable, faster development can happen. Energy is development.

Meanwhile, here are some facts from Maritess Vitug's article in Rappler last September 22, 2013.


* P130 billion (as of August) kept in a trust fund with the national treasury, not reflected at all in the annual national budget.

* from the royalties of the seemingly bottomless Malampaya natural gas reservoir off the shores of Palawan which provides about 50 percent of Luzon’s power needs.

* Project began in 2001, it was during President Gloria Arroyo watch that the fortunes from Malampaya started to flow into the government coffers. She spent a total of P23.6 billion, almost all of which went to non-energy projects.

* Arroyo authorized the release of P19.3 billion, mostly in 2009, apparently for the rehabilitation of areas damaged by 2 typhoons. This coincided with a pre-election year.

* Agriculture department (Secretary Arthur Yap) got a lot of the bounty: P4 billion in 2008 “to augment the Agricultural Guarantee Fund Pool and the rice self-sufficiency programs and other commodity programs” and P1.8 billion in 2009 to help farmers and fishermen devastated by the typhoons.

* Unterior department (Secretary Ronnie Puno) received P2.1 billion in 2009 for its calamity rescue operations;

* National Housing Authority (Vice President Noli de Castro, chairman, and Federico Laxa, general manager) P1.4 billion for relocation efforts;

* Defense department (Secretary Norberto Gonzales), P1.2 billion for the “structural maintenance project and recovery of C-130.”

* Public works department (Acting Secretary Victor Domingo who replaced Secretary Hermogenes Ebdane) that received the heftiest share, P7 billion.

* Only P303 million went to supposedly fund the energy projects of the science and technology department, transport and communications department, defense department, and the energy department.

* Arroyo released almost P4 billion to Palawan as assistance from the national government.

* For his part, President Aquino put in all of his Malampaya Fund expenses to energy-related projects, about P15 billion from 2011-2012. 

* Biggest chunk went to the National Power Corp (P6 billion), followed by the DND (P5.6 billion) “to upgrade its capability” to secure the natural-gas-to-power project.

* The rest went to the National Electrification Administration (P1.9 billion), energy department (P300 million), and interior department (P150 million for the “Pantawid Pasada”).

Saturday, June 22, 2013

Climate Tricks 20: Cooling Denial

Many people these days complain of the frequent strong rains and heavy flooding this month. Not only in Metro Manila but in various provinces, or in other countries. When I try to explain that this is part of global cooling, many resist the idea or the term itself. They always argue that this is still part of "man-made" or anthropogenic global warming (AGW) or man-made climate change (CC). I call this attitude as "cooling denial" and 'nature-made CC denial".

Yesterday, known journalist and Rappler editor, Marites Danguilan Vitug, posted in her facebook wall about the global weather while she is in Germany. See the exchanges after that, removing the last names of the people who commented in her wall. I just want to show some spontaneous comments and ideas on this subject.
-----------

Marites It's incredible that the rains are lashing in India, Canada, France, Germany! A friend's cellar in Bonn was flooded, an extremely rare phenomenon.

Top of Form
Antonio  climate change and will get worse.

Camilo High River, Alberta is now experiencing excessive flooding. (One reason of flooding.... the temperature at the North Pole went high???)

Nonoy Oplas Climate changes from warming to cooling to warming to cooling, in endless, natural cycles. Global cooling is here and ALL the guesses and projections by the UN are all wrong, http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/06/still-epic-fail-73-climate-models-vs-measurements-running-5-year-means/
Nonoy Oplas Global sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly, composite for all oceans (Pacific, Atlantic, Arctic, Indian, etc.) and seas in the planet, been mostly in the cooling territory for the past 3 years now, http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/06/global-microwave-sst-update-for-may-2013-0-01-deg-c/


Boyet  baka greenhouse effect ?

Cheryl  Minnesota's winter lasted 8 months. They say this was the worst winter. I am now in Calgary which was hit by a flood yesterday. And yet, the right insists that climate change is a hoax so there is no need to change lifestyles.

Virgilio  The world IS flat!

Lino  I don't know how some people can still deny that climate change is a reality!

Benedict  Ma'am, its true here in Paris!

Maripi  Hindi ka nag-iisa Manila.

Hedwig  Friend's garage in Geneva was flooded, too. 

Sammy  from globalized disaster and calamities, towards globalized resistance against perpetrators of climate crisis...

Nonoy Oplas CC is true. Climate changes from warming to cooling to warming to cooling. In endless, natural cycles. Global warming was true, it did happen -- Roman period, Medieval Warm Period (MWP), last century's warming. Global cooling is also true, it did happen -- little ice age (LIA) during the Maundeer Minimum and Dalton Minimum, and is happening now.
So the term "climate denier" is an idiotic and stupid statement. CC is true, warming is over, it's now cooling. But some scammers do not want to recognize cooling, only warming. They do not want to recognize "nature made" CC, only "man-made" CC.

Meanwhile, global air temp of the lower troposphere, composite for Norhtern + Southern Hemisphere + Tropics, http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/06/uah-global-temperature-update-for-may-2013-0-07-deg-c/


 YR        MON     GLOBAL  NH        SH           TROPICS
2013       1              +0.504    +0.555  +0.453  +0.371
2013       2              +0.175    +0.368  -0.018   +0.168
2013       3              +0.183    +0.329  +0.038  +0.226
2013       4              +0.103    +0.120  +0.086  +0.167
2013       5              +0.074    +0.162  -0.013   +0.113

(NH, SH means Northern Hemisphere, Southern Hemisphere)

Another stupid and idiotic statement is that the past century's warming was "unprecedented", that no period in the past was warmer than the 20th century warming. Their time scale of comparison is limited to only 150 years or so. But go back to 11,000+ years, see the up-down-up-down in global temp, http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/03/11/validity-of-a-reconstruction-of-regional-and-global-temperature-for-the-past-11300-years/


...Let’s look at some specific features of the Marcott et al. curve. As shown in more than 3,000 publications, the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) is widely recognized to have been somewhat warmer than present Figure 1). In the past 10,000 years, at least six other warm periods of magnitude equal to the MWP occurred; nine other warm periods that were 0.5°C warmer than the MWP occurred; two warm periods that were 1°C warmer than the MWP occurred; and three warm periods that were 1.5°C warmer than the MWP occurred. All of these periods warmer than the MWP clearly contradict the Marcott et al. conclusions. 
 The Marcott et al. conclusions that “Current global temperatures of the past decade … are warmer than during ~75% of the Holocene temperature history” and “Global mean temperature for the decade 2000-2009 ….are warmer than 82% of the Holocene” are clearly contrary to measured, accurate, real-time data and thus fail the Feynman test, i.e., they are wrong.
Again, the terms "climate denier" and "warming denier" are stupid and idiotic statements. Scammers who benefit from oodles of climate money would want to perpetuate that urban legend.