Wednesday, May 06, 2020

Covid 10, Big global pandemics, fatality rate

The current Wuhan or China virus has killed .25 million people and 70,000 Americans as of yesterday, representing 0.02% of total US population, indicating this seems to be a mild virus. The Spanish flu more than a century ago remains the most virulent virus in the past and present century.

We often read that there were 50M to 100M people who died in the Spanish flu. This seems exagerrated so I searched for some scientific papers, I found one below. The three author scientists estimate there were only about 17.41M global deaths.

“Reassessing the Global Mortality Burden of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic”
By Peter Spreeuwenberg, Madelon Kroneman, John Paget
American Journal of Epidemiology, Volume 187, Issue 12, December 2018, Pages 2561–2567

See also:
Covid 7, Most US Covid deaths are due to comorbidity, May 02, 2020 
Covid 8, Deaths in lockdown vs No lockdown countries, May 04, 2020 

Covid 9, GDP growth of lockdown vs No/Lite lockdown (preliminary), May 05, 2020.

No comments: