Friday, May 08, 2020

Some unseen negative effects of stay home orders

(This photo from MarketWatch)
I am reposting below some news reports that have a counter-narrative, that stay home orders do not seem to help in controlling the spread of the virus.

Cuomo says it’s ‘shocking’ most new coronavirus hospitalizations are people who had been staying home
Noah Higgins-Dunn      Kevin Breuninger

Early look at data from 100 New York hospitals shows that 66% of new admissions related to the virus are people who were at home, Cuomo said.
He also said a majority of the cases in New York City are minorities, with nearly half being African American or Hispanic.

Gov. Cuomo shares data on COVID-19 hospital patient survey
by: Corina Cappabianca
Posted: May 6, 2020 / 05:08 PM EDT / Updated: May 6, 2020 / 05:19 PM EDT

(My friend Cathy who lives in NYC says “I'll bet they will find that the people "staying at home" have had exposure that is not being accounted for in these numbers. I've been "staying at home" but I have to go out to get food. There is a lot of exposure going on here in New York, even without people going to work. And there are idiots ignoring the mask rules, and probably other guidance as well.”)

Millions predicted to develop tuberculosis as result of Covid-19 lockdown
Liz Ford
Wed 6 May 2020 07.15 BSTLast modified on Wed 6 May 2020 07.16 BST

With attention focused on coronavirus, undiagnosed and untreated TB cases will cause 1.4 million to die, research suggests

Up to 6.3 million more people are predicted to develop TB between now and 2025 and 1.4 million more people are expected to die as cases go undiagnosed and untreated during lockdown. This will set back global efforts to end TB by five to eight years.

Nearly 1.5 Million More Tuberculosis Deaths Expected Due To Coronavirus Lockdowns
by Tyler Durden   Wed, 05/06/2020 - 20:05

(My friend Cathy commented again, "We have effective treatments for TB. We don't have them for COVID-19. We need to slow the spread while we race for a cure.")

Parts of Asia that relaxed restrictions without a resurgence in coronavirus cases did these three things
William Feuer

South Korea and Hong Kong successfully relaxed pandemic restrictions without having another rise in cases by data sharing, using targeted testing and contact tracing.
The varying results of efforts across Asia to contain the virus and reopen society present policy options and perhaps lessons for countries behind on the outbreak’s timeline.
Public health specialists who spoke with CNBC said they’re not confident U.S. officials are taking note of what’s working and not working in Asia.

Japan’s Coronavirus Cases Fall Sharply Without Compulsory Measures
By Alastair Gale   Updated April 27, 2020 9:51 am ET

Nation hasn’t imposed a lockdown backed with fines or other penalties and has shunned widespread testing.

The data is in — stop the panic and end the total isolation

Stanford doctor explains why coronavirus lockdown policies need to end: 'Ignore the panic and rely on facts'
APRIL 24, 2020  Aaron Colen

Anxiety From Reactions to Covid-19 Will Destroy At Least Seven Times More Years of Life Than Can Be Saved by Lockdowns
By Andrew Glen, Ph.D. and James D. Agresti
May 4, 2020

Based on a broad array of scientific data, Just Facts has computed that the anxiety created by reactions to Covid-19—such as stay-at-home orders, business shutdowns, media exaggerations, and legitimate concerns about the virus—will destroy at least seven times more years of human life than can possibly be saved by lockdowns to control the spread of the disease. This figure is a bare minimum, and the actual one is likely more than 90 times greater.

KFF Health Tracking Poll - Early April 2020: The Impact Of Coronavirus On Life In America
Ashley Kirzinger, Audrey Kearney, Liz Hamel, and Mollyann Brodie
Published: Apr 02, 2020

more than half now reporting being worried that their investments will be negatively impacted for a long time (59%), they will be laid off or lose their job (52%), and nearly half worried they will lose income due to a workplace closure or reduced hours (45%). And while Americans increasingly worry about the impact on their own incomes, about half (53%) continue to be worried that they or a family will get sick from coronavirus.

Coronavirus and Americans’ Mental Health: Insights from BSG’s Pulse of America Poll
April 4, 2020

55% of Americans say the situation has already affected their mental health either a great deal or somewhat, compared to the only 19% who say the situation has not affected their mental health at all.
71% of Americans say they are concerned that “social distancing” measures will have a negative impact on the country’s mental health – including 28% who are extremely or very concerned about this.

New Poll: COVID-19 Impacting Mental Well-Being: Americans Feeling Anxious, Especially for Loved Ones; Older Adults are Less Anxious
Mar 25, 2020

Nearly half of Americans (48%) are anxious about the possibility of getting coronavirus, COVID-19, and nearly four in ten Americans (40%) are anxious about becoming seriously ill or dying from coronavirus, but far more Americans (62%) are anxious about the possibility of family and loved ones getting coronavirus. This is according to a new national poll released today by the American Psychiatric Association (APA).

Neuropsychopharmacology: The Fifth Generation of Progress. Edited by Kenneth L. Davis, Dennis Charney, Joseph T. Coyle, and Charles Nemeroff.
American College of Neuropsychopharmacology 2002.

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