Sunday, January 17, 2021

Covid 22, Deaths from vax, Studies on lockdowns don't work

Some deaths and additional diseases after taking the Covid vax.

55 dead in the US after taking Moderna and Pfizer vax,
https://www.theepochtimes.com/55-people-died-in-us-after-receiving-covid-19-vaccines-reporting-system_3659152.html 

https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/55-americans-have-died-following-covid-vaccination-norway-deaths-rise-29

29 dead in Norway after taking Pfizer BionTech vax, 
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-16/norway-vaccine-fatalities-among-people-75-and-older-rise-to-29?sref=ZMFHsM5Z

https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202101/1212915.shtml#.YAH4cOM0a0Q.twitter

3 facial paralysis in Israel after taking Pfizer vax, 
https://www.rt.com/news/512736-israel-facial-paralysis-13-covid-vaccine/

You can't sue vax companies over side effects,
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/16/covid-vaccine-side-effects-compensation-lawsuit.html

Meanwhile, no longer possible for Filipinos to travel abroad without a vax passport, it will become mandatory, 
https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2021/01/16/2070787
-------------------

Last Nov. 19, 2020, I received this compilation from a reader of my column, Greg Gibson. He said he's an American married to a Filipina and been living here for a decade and a half. Good list of materials, thanks Greg. Reposting all below...

12 STUDIES AGREE LOCKDOWNS DON’T WORK

1. Lancet Study of 50 Countries: Full Lockdowns Not Associated with Deaths/Million People

A Country Level Analysis Measuring the Impact of Government Actions, Country Preparedness and Socioeconomic Factors on COVID-19 Mortality and Related Health Outcomes 
https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf?pii=S2589-5370%2820%2930208-X

“Data was collected from the top 50 countries ranked by number of cases… Rapid border closures, full lockdowns, and wide-spread testing were not associated with COVID-19 mortality per million people.

However, full lockdowns (RR=2.47: 95%CI: 1.085.64) and reduced country vulnerability to biological threats (i.e. high scores on the global health security scale for risk environment) (RR=1.55; 95%CI: 1.132.12) were significantly associated with increased patient recovery rates.”

2. Study: 80% of Covid-19 Outbreaks From Home, Only 1 Outside

Indoor Transmission of SARS-CoV-2
by Prof. Hua Qian, PhD 
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.04.20053058v1.full.pdf 

“…Home outbreaks were the dominant category (254 of 318 outbreaks; 79·9%), followed by transport (108; 34·0%...Most home outbreaks involved three to five cases. We identified only a single outbreak in an outdoor environment, which involved two cases…”

3. REVEALED: 66% of New York state coronavirus hospitalizations are people staying at HOME
by Jennifer Smith
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8293417/66-New-York-coronavirus-hospitalizations-people-staying-HOME.html 

“…In a study of some 1,000 new patients admitted to New York hospitals over the last week, 66 percent were staying at home…Almost all of them - 96 percent - had underlying conditions.”

4. Study: Covid-19 Infections 18.7 Times (1870%) More Contagious in Closed Environments

Closed Environments Facilitate Secondary Transmission of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
by Prof. Hiroshi Nishiura, M.D., PhD., et al. 
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.28.20029272v2 

“The odds that a primary case transmitted COVID-19 in a closed environment was 18.7 times greater compared to an open-air environment (95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.0, 57.9). Conclusions: It is plausible that closed environments contribute to secondary transmission of COVID-19 and promote superspreading events…”

5. Study of 124 Countries: No Evidence That Lockdowns Saved Lives

There Is No Evidence Lockdowns Saved Lives. It Is Indisputable They Caused Great Harm
by William M. Briggs, PhD 
https://wmbriggs.com/post/30833/

“…There were 12 countries (with at least a million people) that had, on May 12, reported death rates greater than 100 per million…

There were 31 countries (of at least one million) with reported death rates from 11 to 99 per million…

There were 51 countries (of at least one million) with reported death rates from 1 to 10 per million…

Finally, there were 30 countries (also at least one million) with reported deaths under 1 per million…

What can we conclude. Only one thing: we cannot conclude that lockdowns worked…”

6. Study of 50 States and 4 Countries: No Evidence Lockdowns Work

There Is No Empirical Evidence for These Lockdowns
by Prof. Wilfred Reilly, PhD 
https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/04/22/there-is-no-empirical-evidence-for-these-lockdowns/

“The average number of cases-per-million across the states minus New York was 1,392 and the average number of deaths-per-million was 54. Comparing the social-distancing states plus South Carolina to US states minus New York, the social-distancing states experienced 663 fewer cases per million and 42 fewer deaths per million on average than the lockdown states…

Japan had…73 cases per million citizens, and two deaths per million. South Korea had…207 cases per million and four deaths per million. Taiwan had…17 cases per million and 0.03 deaths per million.”

7. Study of 30 Countries: Lockdowns Have No Impact

Impact of  Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions Against  COVID-19 in Europe
by Prof. Paul R. Hunter, M.D., et al. 
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.01.20088260v1.full.pdf

“…We found that closure of education facilities, prohibiting mass gatherings and closure of some non-essential businesses were associated with reduced incidence whereas stay at home orders, closure of all non-businesses and requiring the wearing of facemasks or coverings in public was not associated with any independent additional impact…”

8. Study of 24 Countries: Lockdowns Have Not Worked, Failures

Did Lockdown Work? An Economist’s Cross-Country Comparison
by Prof. Christian Bjørnskov, PhD 
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3665588

“I find no clear association between lockdown policies and mortality development…more severe lockdown policies have not been associated with lower mortality. In other words, the lockdowns have not worked as intended…

A British government report from April for example assessed that a limited lockdown could cause 185,000 excess deaths over the next years (DHSC, 2020). Evaluated as a whole, at a first glance, the lockdown policies of the Spring of 2020 therefore appear to be substantial long-run government failures.”

9. Study of 4 Countries: Lockdowns Show No Impact

Full Lockdown Policies in Western Europe Countries Have No Evident Impacts in the COVID-19 Epidemic
by Thomas Meunier, Phd 
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.24.20078717v1

“This phenomenological study assesses the impacts of full lockdown strategies applied in Italy, France, Spain and United Kingdom, on the slowdown of the 2020 COVID-19 outbreak. Comparing the trajectory of the epidemic before and after the lockdown, we find no evidence of any discontinuity in the growth rate, doubling time, and reproduction number trends.

Extrapolating pre-lockdown growth rate trends, we provide estimates of the death toll in the absence of any lockdown policies, and show that these strategies might not have saved any life in western Europe. We also show that neighboring countries applying less restrictive social distancing measures (as opposed to police-enforced home containment) experience a very similar time evolution of the epidemic.”

10. Study: Lockdowns vs. Deaths Correlation Only 5.5%

 Do Lockdowns Save Many Lives? In Most Places, the Data Say No
by T.J. Rodgers, PhD 
https://www.wsj.com/articles/do-lockdowns-save-many-lives-is-most-places-the-data-say-no-11587930911

https://nominister.blogspot.com/2020/04/lockdowns-dont-work-what-does.html

“The speed with which officials shuttered the economy appears not to be a factor in Covid deaths…The correlation coefficient was 5.5%—so low that the engineers I used to employ would have summarized it as “no correlation…”

11. Study: “Removal of Lockdown Policies Had Little Effect on Transmission Rates” 

Four Stylized Facts About Covid-19
by Prof. Andrew Atkeson, PhD., et al.
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27719.pdf 

“…Our finding in Fact 1 that early declines in the transmission rate of COVID-19 were nearly universal worldwide suggest that the role of region-specific NPI’s implemented in this early phase of the pandemic is likely overstated. This finding instead suggests that some other factor(s) common across regions drove the early and rapid transmission rate declines

Our findings in Fact 2 and Fact 3 further raise doubt about the importance in NPI’s (lockdown policies in particular) in accounting for the evolution of COVID-19 transmission rates over time and across locations.”

12. Lockdowns Don’t Work
by Lyman Stone 
https://www.thepublicdiscourse.com/2020/04/62572/

“…But ordering people to cower in their homes, harassing people for having playdates in the park, and ordering small businesses to close regardless of their hygienic procedures has no demonstrated effectiveness…

Across all studies, these estimate places typical death time at about twenty to twenty-five days after first exposure….lockdowns should not create an appreciable decline in deaths earlier than twenty days after a lockdown.”

There are now at least 27 such studies, 
https://thefatemperor.com/published-papers-and-data-on-lockdown-weak-efficacy-and-lockdown-huge-harms/

Charts, Lockdowns vs. Deaths, no relationship

The Virus Doesn’t Care about Your Policies
by Jeffrey Tucker 
https://www.aier.org/article/the-virus-doesnt-care-about-your-policies/

Lockdown Fail In One Easy Graph
by David Middleton 
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/05/12/lockdown-fail-in-one-easy-graph/

Why Americans Should Adopt the Sweden Model on Covid-19
by Gilbert Berdine, MD 
https://mises.org/wire/why-americans-should-adopt-sweden-model-covid-19 

Oxford Stringency Lockdown Charts
by Todd Kenyon, PhD 
https://twitter.com/TTBikeFit/status/1289000686001295360 
https://twitter.com/TTBikeFit/status/1294811075293085696

The World's Toughest Lockdown Has Resulted in the World's Highest COVID-19 Death Toll
by Jordan Schachtel
https://jordanschachtel.substack.com/p/the-worlds-toughest-lockdown-has 

Lockdown Political Agenda

World Bank Offered Belarus $940 Million Coronavirus Loan But Only If They Locked Down and Destroyed Economy
by Jim Hoft 
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/07/world-bank-offered-belarus-940-million-coronavirus-loan-locked-destroyed-economy/   

32,000 Medical Practitioners and Scientists Against Lockdowns

The Great Barrington Declaration
by Prof. Kulldorff, PhD., Harvard Univ., Prof. Gupta, PhD., Oxford Univ., Prof. Bhattacharya, PhD., MD., Stanford Univ., et al. 
https://gbdeclaration.org/#read 

“As infectious disease epidemiologists and public health scientists we have grave concerns about the damaging physical and mental health impacts of the prevailing COVID-19 policies, and recommend an approach we call Focused Protection…

Current lockdown policies are producing devastating effects on short and long-term public health. The results (to name a few) include lower childhood vaccination rates, worsening cardiovascular disease outcomes, fewer cancer screenings and deteriorating mental health – leading to greater excess mortality in years to come, with the working class and younger members of society carrying the heaviest burden. Keeping students out of school is a grave injustice. Keeping these measures in place until a vaccine is available will cause irreparable damage, with the underprivileged disproportionately harmed.

As immunity builds in the population, the risk of infection to all – including the vulnerable – falls. We know that all populations will eventually reach herd immunity – i.e.  the point at which the rate of new infections is stable – and that this can be assisted by (but is not dependent upon) a vaccine. Our goal should therefore be to minimize mortality and social harm until we reach herd immunity.

The most compassionate approach that balances the risks and benefits of reaching herd immunity, is to allow those who are at minimal risk of death to live their lives normally to build up immunity to the virus through natural infection, while better protecting those who are at highest risk. We call this Focused Protection.  

Those who are not vulnerable should immediately be allowed to resume life as normal…Schools and universities should be open for in-person teaching. Extracurricular activities, such as sports, should be resumed. Young low-risk adults should work normally, rather than from home. Restaurants and other businesses should open. Arts, music, sport and other cultural activities should resume. People who are more at risk may participate if they wish, while society as a whole enjoys the protection conferred upon the vulnerable by those who have built up herd immunity.”

Doctors Raise Alarm About Health Effects of Continued Coronavirus Shutdown: 'Mass Casualty Incident'
by Tyler Olson 
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/doctors-raise-alarm-about-health-effects-of-continued-coronavirus-shutdown  

“More than 600 doctors signed onto a letter sent to President Trump Tuesday pushing him to end the "national shutdown" aimed at slowing the spread of the coronavirus, calling the widespread state orders keeping businesses closed and kids home from school a "mass casualty incident" with "exponentially growing health consequences."

 "We are alarmed at what appears to be the lack of consideration for the future health of our patients," the doctors say in their letter. "The downstream health effects ... are being massively under-estimated and under-reported. This is an order of magnitude error."

The letter continues: "The millions of casualties of a continued shutdown will be hiding in plain sight, but they will be called alcoholism, homelessness, suicide, heart attack, stroke, or kidney failure. In youths it will be called financial instability, unemployment, despair, drug addiction, unplanned pregnancies, poverty, and abuse…”
--------------

See also:
Covid 19, HCQ, RDV and other politicized treatments, October 17, 2020
Covid 20, CDC PH livestream #2, PNP to arrest partying people, December 17, 2020 
Covid 21, P140.5 billion vaccine budget, January 12, 2021.

No comments: