I am reposting two good posts from a friend, Bernard Ong, posted yesterday and today. The news titles I just added here. Communists are communists, they are bullies, they hardly respect the rule of law, only the rule of men, the rule of dictatorship.
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March 22, 2017
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DU30 MUST DO HIS JOB
Justice Antonio Carpio listed 5 things Duterte can do
"fulfill his constitutional duty" even if "the Philippines is no
match to China militarily".
1) File a strong formal protest against the Chinese
building activity
2) Send the Philippine Navy to patrol Scarborough Shoal.
Should the Chinese attack, invoke the Philippine-US Mutual Defense Treaty,
which covers any armed attack on Philippine navy vessels operating in the South
China Sea.
3) Ask the United States to declare that Scarborough
Shoal is part of Philippine territory for purposes of the Phil-US Mutual
Defense Treaty.
4) Accept the standing U.S. offer to hold joint naval
patrols in the South China Sea to demonstrate joint Philippine and U.S.
determination to prevent China from building on Scarborough Shoal.
5) Avoid any act, statement, or declaration that
expressly or impliedly waives Philippine sovereignty to any Philippine
territory in the West Philippine Sea.
And we should add Duterte's own campaign promise:
6) Ask the Navy to drop him on the nearest safe point to
Spratlys. Ride a jet-ski, plant our flag & challenge the Chinses to
suntukan-o-barilan.
Giving up Spratlys, Panatag and soon Benham Rise to
China; doing nothing; saying "we can't do anything"; all the while
begging for Chinese loans & trains for Mindanao is not only dereliction of
duty. It is treason.
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WILL CHINA WALK ITS TALK?
March 23, 2017
China's reported plan to set up a permanent structure at
Panatag Shoal met loud opposition from Philippine netizens. This was in stark
contrast to Duterte's "can't-do-anything-about-it" defeatism.
Apparently feeling the heat (ok all ye noisy patriots
give yourself a pat in the back now), China has since backtracked & said it
is not building a monitoring station on Panatag. Chinese Foreign Ministry
spokeswoman said "That does not exist at all".
So will China do what it says? Let us look at the
evidence.
1. CHINA LIED ABOUT PANATAG BEFORE
In 2012, there was a standoff on Panatag involving the
Philippine Navy's BRP Gregorio Del Pilar (whose crew tried to arrest Chinese
fishermen who had illegally caught giant clams, corals & live sharks) and 2
Chinese Marine Surveillance ships (who blocked the Navy ship).
Ex-Philippine Ambassador to US Jose Cuisia Jr told a news
conference that US State Dept brokered a deal for both sides to withdraw
simultaneously from Panatag to avoid conflict. The Philippines complied. China
reneged on the deal & did not withdraw its ships. "We were
short-changed" Cuisia said.
2. CHINA LIED ABOUT KAGITINGAN BEFORE
Kagitingan - Fiery Cross Reef in the Spratlys - has been
occupied by China since 1988.
It started with a marine station. Then the Chinese
started reclaiming in 2014 - building one of seven artificial islands in South
China Sea. Official excuse was to provide shelter for fishermen. They added a
runway for an air base in 2015. Then anti-aircraft guns & weapons systems
in 2016.
This pattern of reclaiming reefs, building artificial
islands & militarizing fits the Chinese template in South China Sea.
3. CHINA TALKS ON ONE HAND. MILITARIZES WITH THE OTHER
Asean and China agreed on a 2002 Code of Conduct
Declaration on South China Sea covering the usual motherhood statements –
commitment to UNCLOS, freedom of navigation & overflight, peaceful
resolution of disputes in accordance with international law (including UNCLOS),
refrain from action of inhabiting uninhabited reefs & shoals.
What did China do? Ignore UNCLOS & Arbitration
Tribunal ruling. Impose 12-mile territorial claim & infringe on freedom of
navigation & overflight. Blockaded Panatag. Reclaimed & populated
reefs. Built military facilities & installed weapons systems.
Asean and China began discussing a new, tighter Code of
Conduct in 2010. China has been delaying negotiations to buy time to expand
& consolidate its military position in South China Sea.
4. CULTURE OF FAKES & SUBTERFUGE
In 2015, the global trade in faked goods was valued at
$1.77 trillion. 63% came from China. Taobao - the online shopping platform of
Alibaba - is in U.S. government's blacklist of "world’s most notorious
markets for counterfeit goods."
Domestically, the Chinese have faked practically
everything - counterfeit goods, fake milk, fake rice, even a fake lion in a zoo
that used a Tibetan mastiff to dupe visitors.
On the diplomatic front, other countries are wary of
China.
An good pulse-check can be found in The Straits Times
op-ed "Asean contends with gap between China's words and deeds" which
is quoted here:
"On the South China Sea, Premier Li expressed the
hope that "specific disputes be resolved through dialogue by the parties
directly concerned and all countries in the region work together for peace,
stability and development.”
“Almost on cue, Mr Li's reassuring words to Asean were
put to the test when the Hainan Daily, a state-owned newspaper, quoted Sansha
City mayor Xiao Jie as saying that the local government would build an
environment- monitoring station on Scarborough Shoal, rattling the
Philippines."
“But the Sansha City mayor's statement should not be
brushed away. Sansha City was established by the Chinese government in 2012 as
a prefecture-level city to administer China's maritime interests in the South
China Sea, making Mr Xiao the most senior Chinese official on the ground privy
to Chinese plans for the contested shoal.
5. CHINA PLAYS THE LONG GAME
The Chinese Foreign Ministry statement “That (monitoring
station) does not exist at all” is correct. It does not exist now.
This statement also does not conflict with the Sansha
City Mayor’s statement that China plans to build one. It does not exist yet,
but will happen in the future.
China can even claim to be truthful if it went ahead
& built a military airbase – instead of a civilian monitoring station – on
Panatag. They said “No monitoring station.” They never said “No air base.”
Bottom line, should we trust China? Will China be better
than Duterte at keeping promises? Or is this another moro-moro by a couple of
proven hardened liars.
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See also:
China Watch 20: Fortify PH Garrison? March 20, 2015
China Watch 21, Is a War Between US and China "Inevitable"? May 30, 2015
China Watch 20: Fortify PH Garrison? March 20, 2015
China Watch 21, Is a War Between US and China "Inevitable"? May 30, 2015
China Watch 22, On many rich Chinese leaving their country, January 17, 2016
BWorld 46, China's debt, central planning and central crashes, February 27, 2016
BWorld 99, China insecurity and belligerence, December 30, 2016
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