Showing posts with label Wholesale Electricity Spot Market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wholesale Electricity Spot Market. Show all posts

Friday, March 25, 2016

BWorld 51, WESM as market-oriented, PEMC as bureaucracy-oriented

* This is my article in BusinessWorld last March 23, 2016.


Power generation in the Philippines generally kept up with its ASEAN neighbors in the 1980s up to the early 1990s. By 2000, power capacity in many of our neighbors have doubled or tripled while the Philippines’ has less than doubled. By 2010, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, and Vietnam have kept doubling or tripling their power generation levels in just one decade while the Philippines’ has expanded by only 50%.
  
The figures for China and South Korea are similar, doubling or tripling power capacity every decade. It is not possible to sustain high economic growth without high and stable electricity supply for households and companies.


High power production means high or fast growth in power consumption per capita. Or the reverse, slow power capacity expansion means low consumption per capita, and this is what happened in the Philippines. Until 2000, our per capita consumption was higher than Indonesia and Vietnam, and only one-third that of Thailand. By 2010, things turned around: ours were lower than those in Indonesia and Vietnam and only one-fourth of Thailand. Cambodia is catching up with four times expansion of power capacity in just one decade from 2000 to 2010. 


Note that the Electric Power Industry Reform Act (EPIRA) was enacted in 2001. The law has deregulated and demonopolized power generation where before, Napocor was the single power producer and owner of power transmission nationwide.

So has EPIRA restricted power generation or has the law saved the industry from atrophy? Based on previous columns on the energy sector, various government bureaucracies, local and national, are major contributors to a soured business climate in power generation. Securing nearly 200 different permits and signatures from different agencies over a period of 2-5 years before one can start real power plant construction is no joke.

Power generation companies (gencos) secure bilateral supply contracts with different distribution utilities (DUs) and electric cooperatives (ECs). DUs and ECs are considered as “utilities” and hence, are described as natural monopolies. Zero competition allowed, they just need to secure a Congressional franchise for 25 years, an arrangement that can be renewed.

Outside the contracted power, gencos have extra capacity to produce and sell. DUs too need extra capacity during peak hours on weekdays, or during the hot months of March to May, during fiesta season in many cities and municipalities, and so on.

For such uncontracted power, both gencos and DUs go to the Wholesale Electricity Spot Market (WESM) to buy and sell electricity. The lead time for spot pricing is not one week or one day but only few hours before electricity supply need to be expanded or curtailed.

WESM is governed and administered by the Philippine Electricity Market Corporation (PEMC). It is a weird body because EPIRA of 2001 says there should be an Independent Market Operator (IMO) that should administer WESM, but PEMC has become a bloated government bureaucracy pretending to be a private bureaucracy.

PEMC Board is a 16-man body chaired by the Department of energy (DoE) Secretary plus 15 Directors: 4 from gencos (2 from government, PSALM and NPC, and 2 private), 4 from DUs (2 from ECs and 2 non-ECs), 4 independent of the power industry, 1 from WESM customers including suppliers, 1 from the National Grid Corporation of the Philippines (NGCP) representing the system operator and Transco, and 1 from market operator represented by PEMC itself.

I was able to secure the transcript of three Committee hearings of the Senate Committee on Energy (October and December 2015, and January 2016) headed by Sen. Serge Osmeña, thanks to his staff Vina.

From those transcripts and related readings, I gather these eight questionable or weird things in the PEMC Board and WESM.

First, PEMC is supposed to be an IMO yet there are several government officials sitting on its Board, including the DoE Secretary and representatives from the Power Sector Assets and Liabilities Management Corporation (PSALM) and the National Power Corporation (NPC). The NGCP is a private corporation but it is representing a government corporation, Transco. Then there are advisers to the Board, two of whom are from government, a DoE Undersecretary and the National Electrification Administration (NEA).

Second, the actual power production of PSALM and NPC are small, almost negligible from the genco mix of Meralco for instance, yet they are almost permanent members of the Board.

Third, those 4 independent directors and the consumer representative (5 total) are all appointed by the DoE Secretary and hence, should be friendly to the government.

Fourth, PEMC is regulated by the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) which is under the administrative control of the DoE Secretary. So the Secretary heads an agency that is regulated by a government body that is under the Office of the Secretary.

Fifth, all the income of PEMC and WESM is collected from the gencos, especially private gencos, and the private gencos have only two seats. No collection from DUs, from independent Directors, from consumers, from system operator and market operator. The ERC and DoE get a certain percentage from the total WESM revenues.

Sixth, PEMC is pretending to be a private corporation when in reality it is a government-owned and controlled corporation (GOCC). By virtue of its being DoE Secretary-controlled, the presence of several government corporations and agencies in the Board, it is a government-owned bureaucracy pretending to be a private bureaucracy.

Seventh, being a GOCC pretending to be a private corporation, part of its collections or revenues are being used by the DoE and ERC for their respective regulatory and policy formulation functions. PEMC budget is also approved by the ERC, then PEMC should be audited by the Commission on Audit but currently, private auditing firms do the job.

And eighth, gencos pay for all the market fees at WESM and they are subject to price control via primary and secondary price caps. Their peaking plants need to charge higher on those few hours they run to compensate for many hours a day that they are not running and still make a profit, and pay more market fees yet they are restricted from doing this via price control.

So if you are a genco and you are subject to these kinds of policy distortions and bureaucratic interventions at WESM -- and paying for all of it -- that creates another layer of disincentive to do business.

And that will further put some brakes on an otherwise huge demand for fast and high generation capacity so we can catch up with our neighbors like Vietnam and Indonesia. In this age of ASEAN economic integration, energy-intensive sectors can put up their manufacturing companies in cheaper-energy countries like Indonesia, Vietnam, Cambodia, and Thailand, then export to the Philippines at zero tariff. Also, energy-intensive services like hotels (lights, aircon and elevators running 24/7) and tourism can expand faster in cheaper-energy countries than in expensive-energy countries like the Philippines.

We need less government interventions and distortions in the energy sector. It is among the important prerequisites for the Philippines to grow faster and create more jobs and businesses to the people.

Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. is the head of Minimal Government Thinkers, a Fellow of the South East Asia Network for Development (SEANET), and a member of the Economic Freedom Network (EFN) Asia. All three entities support the philosophy of classical liberalism in politics and economics.
minimalgovernment@gmail.com
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See also:
BWorld 34, Solar power and supply instability, December 24, 2015 
BWorld 39, Coal and renewables complement each other, January 26, 2016
BWorld 43, More on WESM, PEMC and DOE, February 14, 2016
BWorld 47, Renewable energy and the illusion of merit order effect, March 06, 2016
BWorld 49, John Locke and Jovito Salonga, March 18, 2016

BWorld 50, Adam Smith and Jovito Salonga, March 21, 2016

Sunday, December 13, 2015

BWorld 31, Comparative electricity exchange market in Asia-Pacific

* This is my article in BusinessWorld last December 09, 2015.


Voluntary market exchange, the people’s freedom to sell and supply and freedom to buy and purchase, is among the cornerstones of a free and dynamic society. When they are not forced to sell to only one or two buyers or not forced to buy from only one or two sellers, then there is more competition. As a result, prices are reasonable and affordable and the consumers benefit from this kind of economic freedom.

In the electricity market, the presence of many power generation companies, many power plants from various energy sources, many distribution utilities and organized consumers, is one precondition for having a competitive and affordable electricity prices. Especially if governments do not impose lots of taxes, fees, charges and royalties that push electricity prices upwards.

Many modern economies have their own electricity exchange markets, similar to their respective stock markets. These are generally independent organizations or corporations, independent from government.

Here are Asia and Pacific economies which have their own platform for electricity spot markets. (See table)


The Philippines’ Wholesale Electricity Spot Market (WESM), created under Republic Act No. 9136 or the Electric Power Industry Reform Act of 2001 (EPIRA), became operational in June 2006.

The US and Europe have their own respective electricity market platform too. Examples are the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, USA, and the European Power Exchange SE owned by the APX Group, covering Germany, France, Austria, Switzerland and Luxembourg.

In the above table, it is notable that the Philippines seems to be the odd-man-out because PEMC, supposed to be an independent organization and corporations, remains to be under the leadership and control of the Department of Energy (DoE).

Take the case of the Energy Market Co. Pte. Ltd. (EMC) of Singapore. The Board is composed of seven prominent individuals, none of whom is from the government, and seems none is from any energy players (covering generation, transmission, distribution). The Chairman, Wong Meng Meng, is a topnotch lawyer known more for litigation and arbitration, not in energy economics or engineering. So it is a clear example of independence from government and from stakeholders.

During the Senate public hearing last Oct. 8, chaired by Senator Sergio R. Osmeña III, Chairman of the Committee on Finance (Subcommittee B), the issue of PEMC governance and WESM administration was tackled. The eloquent Senator pointed out the following points, among others:

(1) Under EPIRA, PEMC is supposed to last for only one year and would transition to an independent market operator (IMO).

(2) PEMC has existed for so long (12 years now), they are now saying, “Now we have experience in operating the grid because we already practiced for 10 years.”

(3) The Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) regulates and has oversight function over PEMC. PEMC does not consider itself a government-owned and controlled corporation, supposedly independent, but the Chairperson is the DoE Secretary.

(4) PEMC was created in 2003, and the DoE Secretary is an over-staying Chairman for 12 years already.

(5) PEMC being a private corporation is not subject to audits by the Commission on Audit.

(6) PEMC says it is private, independent of government, then must go to the Chairperson (DoE Secretary) to change rules.

There are several important issues that PEMC and the DOE seem to violate EPIRA, supposedly the mother of all electricity reforms including the creation of ERC, Power Sector Assets and Liabilities Management (PSALM), WESM and IMO.

One, PEMC should have been nonexistent several years ago, only one year after the creation of WESM (June 2006); meaning PEMC should have become IMO by June 2007.

Two, the DoE Secretary should be out of PEMC or IMO as its Chairman. It cannot be really independent of government if the Chair is the DoE Secretary, which issues a Department Circular, which becomes part of the rules of PEMC and WESM.

Three, the PSALM, a government corporation with big presence in power generation in Luzon-Visayas, may have justified presence in the PEMC and soon IMO board; but the National Power Corp. with minimal presence in power generation, its presence in the Board looks questionable. There are huge players in the generation sector that are affected by PEMC and WESM rules that are not in the board.

Four, if PEMC is dissolved and IMO is created, there are two issues to settle. (1) IMO is independent of both government and stakeholders, like Singapore’s EMC, or (2) IMO is independent only of government but will be composed of stakeholders, like the Philippine Stock Exchange model.

This writer is not a stakeholder, not a consultant of any of the stakeholders or the government but writes only from a consumer’s perspective.

Hence, he wishes to repeat and help continue the advocacy in the sector: (1) reduce or abolish certain energy taxes, fees, permits, royalties that contribute to expensive electricity, (2) establish fiercer competition among players and stakeholders, and (3) have the government lay down and enforce fair rules that apply to all without exception, not add more layers of costly bureaucracies and regulations.
• • •
Minor erratum in a previous column entitled: “WESM, PEMC and the search for competitive electricity prices” last Nov. 4. On the PEMC Board, it said:

“One from the Market Operator, one from the National Transmission Corp. (now known as the National Grid Corporation of the Philippines), four from DUs; one from WESM customers including but not limited to suppliers...”

The National Grid Corporation of the Philippines (NGCP) wrote saying that: “NGCP is an entity separate from the National Transmission Corporation (TransCo)... NGCP as System Operator, holds a seat at the PEMC... holds the concession and franchise to manage and operate the country’s power transmission assets.”

Thanks for the correction.

Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. is the President of Minimal Government Thinkers Inc., and a Fellow of South East Asia Network for Development (SEANET). minimalgovernment@gmail.com
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See also:

Thursday, November 05, 2015

BWorld 22, WESM, PEMC and search for competitive electricity prices

* This is my column in BusinessWorld yesterday.


The search for affordable and competitive electricity prices in the Philippines and elsewhere remains a continuing adventure for consumers and many industry players.

In a previous column entitled “DoE’s new circular will raise, not lower, electricity prices” (Oct. 21), it was argued that the Department of Energy (DoE) order mandating competitive selection process (CSP) by distribution utilities (DUs) would have the potential of increasing, not lowering, electricity prices.

There is an existing platform for CSP by electricity producers and distributors in the country via the Wholesale Electricity Spot Market (WESM), created under Republic Act No. 9136 or the Electric Power Industry Reform Act of 2001 (EPIRA). Managed by the Philippine Electricity Market Corp. (PEMC), the spot market became operational in June 2006 and it allowed the Philippines to join three other Asian developed economies -- Japan, South Korea, and Singapore -- to have a power exchange market. (See table 1)


 Outside Asia, perhaps all the developed economies in Europe and North America have their own power exchange markets: New York, Los Angeles; Munich, Frankfurt; Amsterdam, Rotterdam; London, Rome, Madrid, Stockholm, Brussels, Zurich, etc. Australia also has its own power market.

RECENT WESM PRICES
During the WESM Market Participants Update sponsored by the PEMC last Thursday, Oct. 28 at Intercon Hotel in Makati, the corporation reported uptick in WESM prices from April to June 2015, then significant decline from July to September 2015. The main reason is the increase in power demand in May-June due to warm weather, then decrease in power demand in the wet and cool weather of July to September. There is also bigger capacity by the hydro power plants. (See table 2)



The September price is really good news for the consumers, be they residential, commercial, or industrial. Also during the period April to September 2015, total market transactions at WESM was 33,101 gigawatt hours (GWh), of which 91.4% are done via bilateral, medium- and long-term contracts and 8.6% via spot market contracts.

GOVERNANCE ISSUES IN PEMC
From the WESM Web site, the PEMC Board is composed of 15 representatives/directors from various sectors of the electric power industry, plus independent members:

One from the Market Operator, one from the National Transmission Corp. (now known as the National Grid Corp. of the Philippines), four from DUs; one from WESM customers including but not limited to suppliers; four from generation companies (gencos); and four independent of the Philippine electric power industry and are nominated by WESM members.

With that said, there should be NONE from the government. In reality though, there are at least three from the government: DoE Secretary as Chairperson, the head of Power Sector Assets and Liabilities Management Corp., and the head of National Power Corp.

The presence of the DoE Secretary as Chairman of the PEMC Board should be temporary and not extended with no clear timetable. Under Section 30 of RA 9136 it says that:

“...Not later than one (1) year after the implementation of the wholesale electricity spot market, an independent entity shall be formed and the functions, assets and liabilities of the market operator shall be transferred to such entity with the joint endorsement of the DoE and the electric power industry participants.”

WESM was created in June 2006. This means that an independent market operator should have been in place by June 2007, but more than eight years after, this did not take place. What happened?

There are many government agencies regulating the power sector already: DoE (overall), Energy Regulatory Commission (tariff rates), Securities and Exchange Commission (corporate matters), Department of Environment and Natural Resources (environmental permits), Bureau of Internal Revenue (national taxes), local government units (local taxes and permits) and so on. Having government as key player within PEMC is unnecessary and a violation of EPIRA.

The key to having affordable and competitive electricity prices is via competition among market players, especially among generation companies -- harsh and fierce competition as much as possible. More government regulations, permits, and taxes do the opposite and result in market distortion, expensive electricity and unstable supply in certain periods of the year.

PEMC should be allowed to operate as truly independent of government. Let the various players, gencos and distribution utilities, and consumers, and independent directors, debate and settle among themselves various issues with the end-view of having low and competitive electricity prices for the consumers.


Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. is the head of Manila-based Minimal Government Thinkers, Inc., and a Fellow of Kuala Lumpur-based South East Asia Network for Development (SEANET).
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See also:
BWorld 18, Non-tariff barriers in the ASEAN, September 12, 2015 
BWorld 19, Taxation and regulations in PH mining industry, September 24, 2015 
BWorld 20, DOE Circular to raise electricity prices, October 25, 2015 

BWorld 21, More internet use means lesser corruption?, October 31, 2015

Saturday, March 08, 2014

Energy Econ 15: Electricity Angsts, Presentation at UP Diliman

The other day, I was one of three speakers in a forum on the Electric Power Industry Reform Act of 2001 (EPIRA) at UP Diliman. The two other speakers were Maria Teresa "Maitet" Diokno of the Center for Power Issues and Initiatives (CPII) and Atty. Debora Anastacia Layugan of the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC).


I knew that Maitet, a fellow UPSE alumni, would be talking critically and negatively about the EPIRA as I have read one of her articles on the subject. And it's good that she spoke ahead of me. She said that the law promised many things but has not delivered. Like bringing down electricity prices but we have more unaffordable electricity rates now.

This table shows that electricity rates are more affordable now, at least in 2013 vs 2012 prices, generation charge. Our monthly electricity bill is composed of about nine items: generation charge, transmission charge, distribution charge, supply charge, metering charge, system loss charge, universal charge, lifeline subsidy, and taxes. Generation charge comprises about 50 percent of the total bill.

I discussed the immediate cause of the power rate hike last December -- a combination of planned/scheduled shutdowns and unplanned/unscheduled shutdowns of several power plants running on natural gas and coal, two of the cheap sources of electricity. Some power plants that run on nat gas had to run on diesel, or oil-fired power plants were tapped, to prevent brownouts.


Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Fat Free Econ 53: WESM, Myths and Realities

* This is my article yesterday in interaksyon.com
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With the debate on whether the power generation rate increase -- mistakenly referred to as "Meralco rate hike" -- is justified or not, the role of WESM has been put under question.

The Wholesale Electricity Spot Market was created under Sec. 30 of Republic Act 9136 or the Electric Power Industry Reform Act of 2001 (EPIRA). Power generators, distribution utilities (DUs) and electric cooperatives, bulk consumers, similar entities authorized by the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) can participate there.

Below are some allegations or criticisms about WESM:

1.  DUs or electric cooperatives like Meralco collude with certain power generators and bid up the price at WESM.

2.  DUs and bulk consumers can easily buy forward contracts or buy electricity for specified short periods in the future to cover any foreseen exposure they may have. This is on top of their long-term bilateral contracts with power generators.

3.  DUs who buy at WESM would know who supplied them power at any time, any day.

4.  It is “a misnomer, a huge farce: More than 90 percent of its transactions aren’t spot trading transactions at all. They are bilateral contracts, with the price and quantity not having anything to do with market conditions at any given time.”

5.  The rule that WESM “must offer all available electricity capacity to the spot market” is mocked and disobeyed by many power companies by offering the maximum bid of P62 per kilowatt-hour (kWh).

6. WESM and its high rates in the November-December period could have been bypassed by running the state-owned Malaya power plants.

How true or valid are these allegations? Let us tackle each of them -- with hard data.

1.  The allegation of collusion between some DUs like Meralco and power generators is belied by the average generation cost in 2013 -- P5.52 per kWh – which was lower than the P5.76 in 2012. The spike in the December billing – which was based on the November generation cost -- was mainly due to the absence of cheaper natural gas from Malampaya, and the purchase of more expensive power from diesel plants, so that brownouts would be avoided.

To prove “collusion,” one must show who colluded. Barring this, collusion is simply an allegation. Item number three below will illustrate why identifying who colluded is impossible. 


2.  DUs and bulk consumers can buy or contract electricity at WESM – say about 10 percent of their projected demand -- just one or two hours ahead, not weeks or months ahead. There is an allowance if some of its contracted generator plants will conk out or suffer output reduction due to mechanical problems, or the demand would suddenly go up.  It is a spot market and as such is characterized by price volatility. But at least power supply is delivered, and disruption or a brownout, is avoided. When supply exceeds demand by a wide margin, the price goes down. When this margin narrows, the price goes up.

Here is a short history of WESM prices from July 2006 to November 2013. The three outliers, January 2009 – when prices were very low -- and February-March 2010 and November-December 2013 – when prices were very high -- are explained in bold sentences. Note the lower cost of WESM load-weighted average price (LWAP) compared to average Napocor rates.


3.  Knowing who sold power and by how much at WESM is fungible. When you buy, you no longer know from which plant and how much power is coming, so there is no way Meralco or ERC can know. Suppose there are 10 generators (excluding those covered by bilateral contracts) supplying WESM in a given hour, and there are 60 buyers (excluding those covered by bilateral contracts) during the same hour, it is impossible to attribute to one generator any output bought by a buyer.

Take this case. On December 6 -- or two days before Typhoon ‘Yolanda’ struck Eastern and Central Visayas -- coal and hydro plants could produce less than 5,000 MW in Luzon, while demand stood at 5,400 MW. More than 3,200 MW of power were either on planned/scheduled shutdown or on forced outage. The oil/diesel plants provided the power to address demand that coal and hydro could not supply. But the supply came at a higher price, in exchange for no brownout that day in Luzon.


Knowing which among the various oil-based power plants supplied how much energy to different DUs and bulk consumers at different prices at different hours of the day cannot be determined. DUs decide whether to buy at that particular price that hour, or beg off on those hours and suffer brownouts in certain cities and municipalities of their franchise area. 

Friday, January 17, 2014

Energy Econ 11: On the Power Rate Hike

Below are my comments in one thread in Government andTaxes, Liberty and Responsibility facebook group, about the ongoing  debate on electricity  rate hike.
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January 12-16, 2014

(1)  Bobi Tiglao (he is in this list) has implied that there should be more government intervention in the power sector, like adopting the Singapore model of vesting contracts.

About the proposal by Cong. Evardone to give the President "emergency powers", Speaker Belmonte has an answer to it: The President is not even asking for it. It's a non-issue, but some legislators, some media can sensationalize it to a big issue.

Take note guys, there WILL be rotating brownouts this coming summer 2014 in Luzon including M.Manila, then another set of brown outs in summer 2015, most likely until summer 2016. The big power plants will come online by 2017 and 2018.

The main problem is in the power generation sector, not in transmission (via NGCP) or in distribution (via Meralco, other electric coops). Some days in 1st week of December 2013, last month, up to 3,800 MW of power was offline due to scheduled + unscheduled shutdowns. Forced shutdowns occur mostly in power plants that are more than 20 years old.

(2) I do not think that the left, the socialists and the pro-nationalization are winning the public debate to re-nationalize power generation and distribution. Government is the most un-trustworthy institution in the country, or even in almost all countries. People are complaining of corruption left and right, from Executive to Legislative to Judiciary, from local to national governments, from armed to non-armed units, and you give heavy political power and control of the important electricity system to the government?

The worst thing that can happen is frequent brown outs. Like what they have in Nepal, N. Korea, and to a certain extent, in Mindanao. People are willing to pay a high price just to have electricity, that's why they buy more expensive gen sets running on expensive diesel. Or the cost of frequent fires because of too many candles is something that the public will hate. A rise of P4/kWh for one month, and perhaps another rise the next month, then back to old rates the next month, is not enough justification for the public to be hoodwinked to the propaganda of the left and socialists.

(3) The typical "nationalize, socialize" argument from the Freedom from Debt Coalition (FDC), no new argument, no studies presented, just press conference.

From interaksyon.com, January 13, 2014,

This group btway cannot advocate freedom from borrowings policy. Only spend-tax-borrow, then demand freedom from debt later.

(4)  "Let foreign power companies compete with our own power producers and distributor. For the leftists and protectionist Centrists, a free power sector is a radical solution. I agree, freeing not only the power industry but the whole protected economy is a radical solution, but this is exactly what we need if we are to survive, both politically and economically."
-- VincentonPost,  January 14, 2014

(5) Politicians and legislators tend to have very parochial minds. For any problem, to them the solution is more politics, more government. Can any politician put up a power plant in one month or one year? The main problem here is not enough new power plants. Many are old, bought from NPC, 20 yrs old, 30, 40 yrs old. Some would break down from time to time. 


Instead of asking what government should do, they should ask what government should NOT do, like not imposing too many taxes, fees, royalties, permits, other regulations and restrictions to new power plant projects.