Sunday, April 25, 2021

Weekend Fun 76, Drunk politicians and other professionals

Many of these stories and punchlines are old, not my original stories. Some of these I tweaked, so enjoy :-)
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1. Arsonist -- a man with a burning ambition.
Drunk Arsonist – thinks he is electricity, he lights up buildings.

2. Politician – can get money from the rich and votes from the poor on the pretext of protecting one from the other.
Drunk Politician – can spot trouble, diagnose it incorrectly and apply all the wrong solutions. 

3. Mathematician --  can discuss infinity without end.
Drunk Mathematician – drinks then derives. 

4. Statistician – can show that numbers are like bikini: what they reveal is interesting but what they conceal is vital.
Drunk Statistician -- his head is on ice and feet on fire and says that on average, he is fine.

5. Physicist – can discuss gravity endlessly which put people down.
Drunk Physicist – can split an atom into proton and electron, lost the latter and reported that proton has Covid, it is positive.

6. Economist -- dangerous when he declares, "watch our invisible hand."
Drunk economist -- researching on alcohol’s law of diminishing marginal utility.
Unemployed economist -- understands the charts and graphs why he's on unemployment insurance.

7. IATF (PH) Officials -- decide what type of lockdown the Philippines will have.
Drunk IATF Officials -- differentiate lockdown types like this...


Happy weekend.
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See also:
Weekend Fun 73, Russia vaccine, ECQ, August 15, 2020 
Weekend Fun 74, CNN as the US' "Baghdad Bob", August 29, 2020
Weekend Fun 75, Lockdown, inflation, climate memes, April 02, 2021.

Friday, April 23, 2021

Covid 32, Continuing economic damage of indefinite lockdown

This morning, famous actress Angel Locsin held her own Community pantry (free food private donations), thousands came and there was a scuffle, one elderly died.
(These two photos I got from the web, none came from my camera.)

Angel Locsin sorry over birthday community pantry that turned into ruckus after an elderly died
Jan Milo Severo - April 23, 2021 - 12:37pm
https://www.philstar.com/entertainment/2021/04/23/2093271/angel-locsin-says-sorry-over-community-pantry-turned-nightmare-after-elderly-died 

"Pero nagsimula naman kami na maayos talaga. Yung aking ramp, kung saan kami nagbibigay, ay may mga markers pa po para ma-observe ang social distancing at maka-follow po ng protocols. Nagpatulong din po kami sa munisipyo, sa barangay po, may mga pumunta din pong pulis at military na tumulong di po. 'Di lang nila makontrol ang mga tao. Hindi po ito ang gusto kong mangyari. Nagsimula po kami ng maayos. Nagkataon lang talaga na gutom lang po talaga ang mga tao na kahit wala sa pila sumingit na po sila,” she said.

Community pantry has sprouted in many cities and villages nationwide. People donating food items, put them in a public place near poor neighborhoods and poor households come. "Give according to capacity, get according to needs" is the guiding philosophy. Close to the communist motto, "From each according to his capability, to each according to his needs" that is why some jerks in the PH military started "red tagging" and harassment of these purely voluntary, civil society initiatives. Lousy military "intelligence." 

Private citizens helping their fellow Filipinos because government is expert in killing jobs and business via indefinite lockdown. Government also gives aid/ayuda but it is not enough because it goes through a maze of bureaucracies from national down to city/municipal to barangay and wastes and stealing occur along the way.

Recent reports on the evils of indefinite lockdown, from March 16, 2020 ECQ to present.
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DOT wants NCR+ movement restrictions lifted
Elijah Felice Rosales - April 22, 2021 - 12:00am
https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2021/04/22/2092923/dot-wants-ncr-movement-restrictions-lifted

However, travel attractions nationwide are hurting with the absence of tourists from Metro Manila, as locals fail to match the visitor arrivals and spending of guests from the nation’s capital.

Boracay Island, for instance, received just 970 visitors from April 1 to 18, as travelers from Metro Manila had to cancel their bookings for the month. In March Boracay welcomed a total of 17,400 tourists, its highest since reopening in October of last year.

New lockdown threatening economic recovery
Beatrice M. Laforga  April 22, 2021 | 8:15 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/new-lockdown-threatening-economic-recovery/ 

“The uncertainties (as to duration and extent) arising from the new quarantine restrictions (Enhanced Community Quarantine, ECQ, as the most stringent) imposed by the government since Holy Week as COVID cases surged to new highs can sideswipe the still-fragile recovery,” First Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC) and University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) said in their April issue of The Market Call released Thursday.

P83B wages lost due to stricter lockdowns – NEDA
Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza  April 21, 2021 | 12:33 am
https://www.bworldonline.com/p83b-wages-lost-due-to-stricter-lockdowns-neda/

During a televised Cabinet meeting with President Rodrigo R. Duterte, Mr. Chua said about P19.6 billion in workers’ income is sacrificed for every week of enhanced community quarantine (ECQ), while P14.7 billion is lost for every week of modified ECQ (MECQ).

“Dahil two weeks na po ’yong ating ECQ at may madadagdag pa na almost three weeks na MECQ, so total of almost 5 weeks, ang epekto po sa ating tao ay (the effect on the people is) P83.3 billion in foregone wages,” Mr. Chua said.

PHL raises P122B from euro bond sale
Beatrice M. Laforga  April 23, 2021 | 12:34 am
https://www.bworldonline.com/phl-raises-p122b-from-euro-bond-sale/ 

The Philippines took advantage of the low interest rates in the euro bond market, as it sold €650 million (P38 billion) worth of four-year global bonds, another €650 million (P47 billion) worth of 12-year notes, and €800 million worth of 20-year debt papers.

This was the country’s biggest and the first long-end euro bond sale ever. It previously issued only three-year, eight-year and nine-year papers.

Broken down, the four-year papers fetched a coupon of 0.25% or 75 basis points (bps) above the tenor’s euro mid swap, the 12-year papers were priced at 1.2% rate or mid swap +105 bps, while the 20-year notes yielded a coupon of 1.75%, 135 bps higher than the euro mid swap.

There. More borrowings to sustain more spending while revenues decline because of indefinite lockdown. 

End the lockdown.
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See also:
Covid 29, CDC PH on WHO, Salvana attack of IVM, April 09, 2021 
Covid 30, Dr. Romeo Quijano on IVM and vaccine mania, April 11, 2021 
Covid 31, Articles arguing for lifting the PH lockdown, April 18, 2021.

Thursday, April 22, 2021

BWorld 484, Earth Day, Greenpeace and the RE lobby

* My column in BusinessWorld, April 19, 2021.

Earth Day was first celebrated on April 22, 1970, 51 years ago, to raise environmental awareness among Americans, and was later adopted in many countries around the world. What later followed were a series of scary climate predictions, all of which were just false alarms. 

Below are some stories, headlines, and climate predictions which never materialized. Note that in the 1970s, people were scared of global cooling and a new ice age. This changed to fear of global warming and rising sea levels in the late 1980s, and in the 1990s the anthropogenic or man-made global warming/climate change was solidified. Among the latest climate Armageddon predictions came from US Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) saying that the end of the world will be in 2031 (see Table 1).


The UN, former US Vice-President Al Gore, the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), and Greenpeace are among the big institutions and personalities that push climate alarm worldwide. They target global ecological central planning especially in energy, transportation, agriculture, and other sectors. 

Before, big environmental groups like WWF and Greenpeace targeted National Governments for them to bow to their global agenda of “decarbonization” or moving away from fossil fuels (coal, gas, oil) to intermittent renewables (wind, solar, biomass, small hydro). Recently they changed tactics and targeted big corporations, harassing and shaming them if they do not bow to their global agenda.

Last week, Greenpeace launched its new report, “Decarbonizing Meralco,” co-written by the Center for Renewable Energy and Technology (CREST). It is an obvious wind-solar lobby — from cover to body there are lots of wind-solar farms shown. The ideological and emotional bias of the paper is captured by its Table F: PSA Price Forecasts for 2025, where the generation cost of wind and solar in 2025 are projected to be only one-half or one-third of 2019 costs. 

Their figures are outlandish and far out. Wind and solar remain expensive and become “viable” only because of various mandates (like priority dispatch in the grid) and subsidies especially the feed-in tariff (FiT) or assured, guaranteed high price for 20 years. Intermittent wind and solar need large batteries to address their highly unstable and fluctuating output and such batteries are not cheap and add to their cost.


Aside from the high prices of wind-solar, their power generation is also very small, only 0.1% of total power generation in 2012, 2.2% of the total in 2019, and 3.8% in first quarter 2021. Table 2’s data on FiT rates come from the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC), data on power generation mix from the Department of Energy.

In one of my recent columns (https://www.bworldonline.com/carbon-tax-is-not-good/, March 29), Table 1 there showed that “With few exceptions, countries that have retained a high coal share to total power generation — at least 30% — have also experienced fast growth: China, India, South Korea, Turkey, Poland, and Taiwan. And countries that significantly raised their coal share… also experienced fast growth: Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines. Countries that reduced their coal share experienced slower growth — the US, Canada, Australia, Germany, the UK, Italy, and Spain.”

So the corporate harassment strategy and “decarbonization” lobby of Greenpeace is based on false climate alarm as shown in Table 1, and on false price assumptions as shown in Table 2.

Meralco and other big energy companies in the Philippines and other countries should not bow to Greenpeace’s alarmist and wind-solar lobby agenda. There is no “climate crisis/emergency” and there is no need to embrace expensive, intermittent, unstable, unpredictable, weather- and battery-dependent energy.
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See also:
BWorld 481, Carbon tax is not good, April 02, 2021 
BWorld 482, Rising cases, vaccine and Ivermectin, April 09, 2021 
BWorld 483, Aging power plants and economic growth, April 15, 2021.

Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Mining 61, PH lifting mining ban via EO 130

Good news in Philippine mining, President Duterte has issued Executive Order (EO) 130 last April 14. See these three stories from BWorld.

(1) Moratorium on mining projects lifted 
Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza    April 16, 2021 | 12:34 am
https://www.bworldonline.com/moratorium-on-mining-projects-lifted/ 

Executive Order (EO) No. 130, signed by Mr. Duterte on April 14, allows the government to enter into new mineral agreements and review existing mining deals for possible renegotiation.

The new EO amends the one made by then-President Benigno S. Aquino III in 2012 which prohibited the grant of new mining deals in several protected areas, while awaiting the passage of a law that would increase the government’s share in mining revenues.

Republic Act No. 10963 or the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) Act doubled the excise tax on minerals, mineral products and quarry resources to 4%, starting 2018.

(2) Gov’t won’t back down on lifting mining ban
Revin Mikhael D. Ochave   April 19, 2021 | 8:24 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/govt-wont-back-down-on-lifting-mining-ban/ 

“We are not paying attention to those calling for the EO to be withdrawn because the country is facing many problems. We need to find a source of funds and this is one path to recovery,” Environment Undersecretary Jonas R. Leones said in a Laging Handa briefing Monday.

Mr. Leones said there are 100 mining projects in the pipeline with the potential to generate P21 billion in revenue for the Treasury.

In 2020, the MGB estimated that the value of the metallic mining industry’s output rose 1.13% to P132.21 billion, of which nickel ore and its by-products accounted for 51.8% or P68.48 billion; gold 36% or P47.60 billion; copper 11.25% or P14.88 billion; and the combination of silver, chromite, and iron P1.26 billion.

(3) Palace expects $4B in mining investments after ban lifted 
Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza  April 19, 2021 | 12:33 am
https://www.bworldonline.com/palace-expects-4b-in-mining-investments-after-ban-lifted/

"If the projects of Sagittarius Mines, Inc., KingKing Mining Corp., and Silangan Mindanao Mining Co., Inc. “are any indication, we are looking at over $4 billion in capital expenditure... new mining projects are also expected to generate P40 billion in local taxes and P20 billion worth of social development projects. Indigenous groups are also expected to benefit with around P15 billion in royalties."

I think it's double, about $9B. Tampakan gold-copper mines (S. Cotabato) alone by SMI was originally $5.9B, King King (Davao del N) $2B and Silangan of Philex (Surigao del N) $2B. Tampakan was the single biggest FDI in the PH ever since, until LGU killed the proj upon the prodding of bright boys and girls anti-mining planet saviors mostly based in M.Manila.

Australia is a good model. Mining only 0.1% of land area yet mining output 9% of GDP. They export lots of metallic and non-metallic products.

Big legitimate money here, both corporate profit and government taxes. No need to steal. Metal prices can only go up or flatline over L-term, never go down because demand will keep rising but supply is restricted or killed by many planet saviors. Below, prices of gold, copper, silver, nickel today, way back last 5 years.

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodities
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See also: 
BWorld 261, PPP, tunnels and mining, October 28, 2018 
Mining 59, High world prices of silver, gold, copper, rhodium, iron ore, nickel, February 02, 2021
Mining 60, High metal prices -- cobalt, lithium, copper, tin,... March 18, 2021.

Sunday, April 18, 2021

Covid 31, Articles arguing for lifting the PH lockdown

Not a comprehensive list but here are some materials that I could find, limited to Filipino columnists.

Lift the Lockdown

End the lockdown, no more extension
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.   April 22, 2020 | 7:05 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/end-the-lockdown-no-more-extension/

Inter-Agency to Terminate Functional businesses (IATF)
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.  June 10, 2020 | 5:50 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/inter-agency-to-terminate-functional-businesses-iatf/ 

Economic hardships worse than virus risks
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.   July 15, 2020 | 7:31 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/economic-hardships-worse-than-virus-risks/

Gaslighting the Filipino
Jemy Gatdula August 13, 2020 | 6:13 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/gaslighting-the-filipino/ 

Time to resume in-classroom learning
Jemy Gatdula September 10, 2020 | 5:09 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/time-to-resume-in-classroom-learning/

Mandatory vaccination is unconstitutional
Jemy Gatdula  September 17, 2020 | 9:39 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/mandatory-vaccination-is-unconstitutional/ 

Flatten the fear and hysteria, not the economy
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.  September 23, 2020 | 5:30 pm 
https://www.bworldonline.com/flatten-the-fear-and-hysteria-not-the-economy/

Flattening the rule of law
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.   October 7, 2020 | 6:02 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/flattening-the-rule-of-law/ 

Of lockdown, masks, and the banality of evil
Jemy Gatdula October 8, 2020 | 5:28 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/of-lockdown-masks-and-the-banality-of-evil/

The WHO on lockdowns: ‘It wasn’t me’
Jemy Gatdula October 15, 2020 | 6:46 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/the-who-on-lockdowns-it-wasnt-me/ 

Property rights and lockdown lefts
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.   October 21, 2020 | 5:59 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/property-rights-and-lockdown-lefts/ 

Mandatory public mask policies don’t work
Jemy Gatdula October 22, 2020 | 3:52 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/mandatory-public-mask-policies-dont-work/

Mandatory public mask laws are unconstitutional
Jemy Gatdula October 29, 2020 | 6:29 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/mandatory-public-mask-laws-are-unconstitutional/ 

Trade, stock markets and indefinite lockdown
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.    November 4, 2020 | 5:18 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/trade-stock-markets-and-indefinite-lockdown/ 

GDP contraction, CDC PH, and medicine taxes
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.   November 11, 2020 | 5:34 pm 
https://www.bworldonline.com/gdp-contraction-cdc-ph-and-medicine-taxes/  

Foreign investment damage under lockdowns
Jemy Gatdula  November 12, 2020 | 6:18 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/foreign-investment-damage-under-lockdowns/ 

‘Even in a pandemic, the Constitution cannot be put away and forgotten’
Jemy Gatdula December 3, 2020 | 6:05 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/even-in-a-pandemic-the-constitution-cannot-be-put-away-and-forgotten/

Putting ‘parens patriae’ in the dustbin
Jemy Gatdula December 10, 2020 | 6:06 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/putting-parens-patriae-in-the-dustbin/ 

First do no harm: Toward an exit strategy from the pandemic
Yen Makabenta   February 13, 2021
https://www.manilatimes.net/2021/02/13/opinion/columnists/topanalysis/first-do-no-harm-toward-an-exit-strategy-from-the-pandemic/840263/

Mobility control, growth control, price control
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.   February 15, 2021 | 6:45 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/mobility-control-growth-control-price-control/ 

How IATF has turned our pandemic plight into a catch-22 situation
Yen Makabenta   February 16, 2021
https://www.manilatimes.net/2021/02/16/opinion/columnists/topanalysis/how-iatf-has-turned-our-pandemic-plight-into-a-catch-22-situation/841440/

Global economic impact of lockdowns
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.    March 1, 2021 | 7:06 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/global-economic-impact-of-lockdowns/ 

IATF Covid rules: A travesty of constitutional administration
Yen Makabenta   March 13, 2021
https://www.manilatimes.net/2021/03/13/opinion/columnists/topanalysis/iatf-covid-rules-a-travesty-of-constitutional-administration/850615/ 

Lockdown déjà vu or back to normal
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.   March 15, 2021 | 6:59 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/lockdown-deja-vu-or-back-to-normal/ 

Behind Covid case surge, debatable policy decisions
Yen Makabenta  March 23, 2021
https://www.manilatimes.net/2021/03/23/opinion/columnists/topanalysis/behind-covid-case-surge-debatable-policy-decisions/854405/ 

The Philippines’ deadliest killers. And it’s not COVID
Jemy Gatdula  March 25, 2021 | 5:27 pm
https://www.bworldonline.com/the-philippines-deadliest-killers-and-its-not-covid/ 

At the mercy of local governments and Covid-19; double masking insanity
Yen Makabenta   March 27, 2021
https://www.manilatimes.net/2021/03/27/opinion/columnists/topanalysis/at-the-mercy-of-local-governments-and-covid-19-double-masking-insanity/855953/ 

Fight with Covid-19 not over; on the horizon is Covid-21
Yen Makabenta  March 30, 2021
https://www.manilatimes.net/2021/03/30/opinion/columnists/topanalysis/fight-with-covid-19-not-over-on-the-horizon-is-covid-21/857212/ 

Juggling lockdown, quarantine and tough rules vitiated PH pandemic response
Yen Makabenta   April 1, 2021
https://www.manilatimes.net/2021/04/01/opinion/columnists/topanalysis/juggling-lockdown-quarantine-and-tough-rules-vitiated-ph-pandemic-response/858288/

Time to reopen the economy (1)
Joe Zaldarriaga  April 18, 2021 02:30 AM 
https://tribune.net.ph/index.php/2021/04/18/time-to-reopen-the-economy-1/
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See also:
Covid 18, Lockdowns don't work, articles from scientists and medical professionals, August 10, 2020 
Covid 24, Lockdown damages in the Philippines, February 09, 2021
Covid 28, Drs. Villa and Landrito, Ms. Cuisia, on IVM and lockdown, April 01, 2021 
Covid 29, CDC PH on WHO, Salvana attack of IVM, April 09, 2021 
Covid 30, Dr. Romeo Quijano on IVM and vaccine mania, April 11, 2021.

Thursday, April 15, 2021

BWorld 483, Aging power plants and economic growth

* My article in BusinessWorld, April 12, 2021.


At the monthly briefing by the Independent Electricity Market Operator of the Philippines (IEMOP) last week, it was shown that while average demand from March 2020 to March 2021 increased by 3.2%, average supply decreased 7.7%, resulting in an increase in average spot electricity prices by 76.4%, P1.80/kwh higher.

The main reason was the series of plant outages, scheduled and unscheduled, in early, middle, and late March. Among the big power plants that experienced outages last March were Sta. Rita (natgas), Ilijan (natgas), GN Power Mariveles (coal), Sual (coal), Pagbilao (coal), Kalayaan (hydro), Magat (hydro), and Makban (geothermal).

One characteristic of the Philippine electricity system is that many big power plants are old, especially hydro, geothermal, and oil plants. Coal plants are generally new except Calaca and it experienced a 10 month shutdown from March 2020 to January 2021.

Also last week, the Department of Energy released the list of existing power plants as of December 2020. It is a long list, so I listed only the big ones, those above 200 MW, in Table 1. Those above 25 years old, which were commissioned in 1996 and earlier, are highlighted in red.

Most power plants using renewable energy sources are new, but they are small. As of 2020, their installed capacity in the Luzon grid are: wind, 283 MW; solar, 312 MW; biomass, 178 MW; small and mini-hydro, 84 MW. They remain marginal electricity producers in the country.

Visayas power is dominated by coal and these plants are mostly new. Geothermal plants in Leyte and Negros are mostly old.

In Mindanao, big hydro still dominates and all the plants are old, more than 30 years old, even 60+ years old like Agus 6. They frequently conked out and Mindanao has experienced frequent “Earth Hours” daily. Things changed from 2016 up to the present with the commissioning of many big coal plants and Mindanao said goodbye to frequent blackouts and experienced having a power surplus, no blackouts and cheap electricity for the first time in many decades (see Table 2).

Coal power continues to be demonized but it is actually the workhorse of the Philippines power infrastructure. In the Luzon-Visayas grids for instance, coal produced 54% of total power generated in February-March 2021, followed by natural gas at 24%, geothermal at 11%, and hydro at 6%. The combined output of biomass, solar, and wind is only 5% of the total. The data comes from IEMOP.

In 2020, the Philippines was the worst performing economy in Asia with a GDP contraction of 9.6%. It was also the third worst performing economy among the top 40 largest economies in the world. To help in fast economic recovery, cheap and stable electricity is needed. The government’s new adverse policies against coal should stop and be reversed, otherwise expensive and unstable power will endanger our aspirations of high and sustained growth.
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See also:
BWorld 480, 10 trends in mortality and spending economics, March 29, 2021 
BWorld 481, Carbon tax is not good, April 02, 2021 
BWorld 482, Rising cases, vaccine and Ivermectin, April 09, 2021.

Climate 99, Cooling trend, virus alarm and climate alarm

Here is the latest global lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly or variance from the 30-years average (1991-2020), drastic cooling at -0.01 C in March 2021.

YEAR MO GLOBE NHEM. SHEM. TROPIC USA48 ARCTIC AUST 
2020 07 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.28 0.44 0.26 0.26
2020 08 0.30 0.34 0.26 0.45 0.35 0.30 0.25
2020 09 0.40 0.41 0.39 0.29 0.69 0.24 0.64
2020 10 0.38 0.53 0.22 0.24 0.86 0.95 -0.01
2020 11 0.40 0.52 0.27 0.17 1.45 1.09 1.28
2020 12 0.15 0.08 0.22 -0.07 0.29 0.43 0.13
2021 01 0.12 0.34 -0.09 -0.08 0.36 0.49 -0.52
2021 02 0.20 0.32 0.08 -0.14 -0.66 0.07 -0.27
2021 03 -0.01 0.12 -0.14 -0.29 0.59 -0.79 -0.79

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2021/04/uah-global-temperature-update-for-march-2021-0-01-deg-c/

Is this because of global lockdowns, there is less CO2 emission in the world?
No. On the contrary, global CO2 concentration in the atmosphere continues to go up, global lockdowns have little or zero impact on CO2 level.

https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/

And see the big divergence between global temperature projections vs actual.


https://www.friendsofscience.org/

Now in the fight vs Covid, there are several conflicts between climate alarm and virus alarm.

1. Proposed double mask. Climate alarmism says CO2 is a bad pollutant gas (must be over-regulated over-bureaucratized over-taxed). And we humans exhale CO2. Double mask means the CO2 that people exhale is partly trapped while fresh oxygen is restricted from coming in so people re-inhale that "bad pollutant gas" that they already exhaled. See, 

German Neurologist On Face Masks: ‘Oxygen Deprivation Causes Permanent Neurological Damage’ 
BY: HENNA MILLS VIA SOTT OCTOBER 21, 2020 
https://www.technocracy.news/german-neurologist-on-face-masks-oxygen-deprivation-causes-permanent-neurological-damage/

“The reinhalation of our exhaled air will without a doubt create oxygen deficiency and a flooding of carbon dioxide. We know that the human brain is very sensitive to oxygen deprivation."

2. Huge use of masks, faceshields, hazmats, other PPEs made of plastic and non-reusable materials. Both from hospitals and households. See,

Medical waste in pandemic-hit Philippines: As much as 2 million sacks of rice 
Gaea Katreena Cabico - April 14, 2021 - 5:51pm
https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2021/04/14/2091142/medical-waste-pandemic-hit-philippines-much-2-million-sacks-rice

Climate alarm says do 3 Rs (reduce, reuse, recycle).
Virus alarm says No to 3 Rs but throw dispose. Use more masks shields, plastics, not less.

3. People mobility. Climate alarm says use more mass transportation, trains buses, avoid cars and save energy. Virus alarm says avoid high density transpo like trains buses, more cars better.

4. Outdoor activities. Climate alarm says do more outdoor work and exercises and use less energy, run on the roads not on treadmills indoors. Virus alarm says avoid outdoors, do more indoor work and exercises, stay home.
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See also:
Climate 96, Anthropocene line of Sir Noel de Dios, February 14, 2021 
Climate 97, Econ and infra implications of a cooling planet, February 24, 2021 
Climate 98, Australia's worst flooding for decades, March 25, 2021.

Sunday, April 11, 2021

Covid 30, Dr. Romeo Quijano on IVM and vaccine mania

This beautiful paper by Dr. Quijano was posted and shared in several Viber groups in Manila today. I don't see any online link or publication so I am reposting this here. A doctor friend and former DOH UnderSecretary, Dr. Jade del Mundo, has this to say about Dr. Quijano:

Dr. Romy Quijano belongs to Class ‘74 of the UP College of Medicine, one year ahead of me. He was a faculty member of the Department of Pharmacology of the UP College of Medicine while I was with the Department of Physiology in 1977.
---------------
 

Loss of Common Sense in Covid-19: The Story of Ivermectin

 Romeo F. Quijano
Professor (Ret.), College of Medicine
University of the Philippines Manila

It is not only sense of smell that is lost in Covid-19 but also common sense. This is quite evident in the story of ivermectin. Most seriously affected by the loss of common sense are those in the government’s power structure of the country’s Covid-19 pandemic response, public health officials and “experts”, and the mainstream media. Common sense is perceiving things as they truly are and doing things as they should be. Common sense, however, is not just an instinctive decision resulting from sensual perception but also a rational conclusion as a result of logical reflection. It is the innate ability to perceive the truth behind the facade of common beliefs and managed information dished out by the ruling elite in a basically undemocratic society and servile citizens. Common beliefs or dogma can be manufactured but not common sense. Common sense is doing the right thing even in the face of common beliefs. Common sense is not the product of beliefs, tradition or submission but of careful observation, analysis and intuition. It is also not a product of attaining higher level of learning and education nor a result of climbing up the ladder of social class and structures of power. As Victor Hugo said: “Common sense is in spite of, not the result of, education.”

Government health officials and their “experts” say that ivermectin should not be used because there are no clinical trials that show that ivermectin is effective when used for patients with Covid-19. When confronted with the fact that there are in fact already clinical trials in several other countries that show the efficacy of ivermectin for Covid-19 prophylaxis and treatment, they modify their argument and say, yes there are, but they are insufficient, more clinical trials are needed. They also mislead people by saying that ivermectin is used only in animals. When confronted with the fact that ivermectin was first used for parasitic infections in humans, they say, yes, but the available ivermectin in the country is only for animals and therefore dangerous to use in humans. When confronted with the fact that ivermectin formulations have been registered previously and is listed in the national formulary of essential drugs, and has long history of safety as attested to by international bodies, they say, yes, but ivermectin is no longer registered for human use and there are serious adverse that can happen if used in humans. When informed that some doctors are already prescribing ivermectin to asymptomatic and mild to moderate cases of Covid-19, based on their own analysis of available studies and experience that the drug is safe and effective, they say, these doctors are violating the law. When informed further that the doctors prescribing ivermectin can save lives and is urgently needed by their patients since these patients are refused admission by hospitals and are told that they come only when symptoms become severe, they say, well, these doctors can apply for “compassionate use” and the ivermectin manufacturer or supplier can apply for “emergency use authorization”. When asked why can’t the government itself be proactive, be “compassionate” and make ivermectin available in this Covid-19 emergency situation where countless people are dying and ivermectin offers hope for desperate people, they hem and haw and avoid the question, repeating what they already said and invoking rules and regulations to be followed. They admonish people to have a little bit more patience since vaccines are already being rolled out, repeating the mantra that vaccines are the be-all and end-all that would solve the Covid-19 crisis. 

Now, let’s go into a little bit more details and try to make sense out of this story. The health officials say there are insufficient clinical trials and together with various local medical societies, they issue a joint statement saying “We do not recommend the use of Ivermectin for the treatment of COVID-19. It has not been proven to significantly reduce mortality or improve other clinical outcomes.” citing a “systematic review of 6 randomized controlled trials (RCT’s) of good methodological quality” (1) without revealing that they receive quite a substantial amount of largesse from Big Pharma.  They completely ignore the fact that an independent group called Front Line COVID-19 Critical Care Alliance (FLCCC) analysed a much more extensive list of clinical trials (50 studies, 26 were randomised controlled trials). Of the 50 studies, 98% report positive effects and 76% show lower mortality. Of the 26 RCT’s, 96% report positive effects, with an estimated 66% improvement. FLCCC is a group of highly published, critical care physician-scholars and allied physicians from around the world.(2) This was corroborated by another independent review of 11 RCT’s whose results show 62% reduction of mortality.(3)

They say that ivermectin is used only for animals and it is dangerous to use ivermectin for humans.

They seem to be ignorant of the fact that after about 3 decades of use in humans, ivermectin continues to provide a high margin of safety for a growing number of indications. Numerous studies report low rates of adverse events as an oral treatment for parasites. Even WHO have recommended have recommended mass administration of ivermectin for filariasis, saying it is safe and effective.(4) In fact, about 3.7 billion doses of ivermectin have been distributed in mass drug administration campaigns globally over the past 30 years.(5) In DR Congo, between the years 2003 and 2017, the total average population treated was around 15,552,588 with 55 deaths associated with ivermectin treatment.(6) Compare this to 4,095 deaths due to paracetamol in England and Wales during the same period.(7)

And why can’t the government itself  be proactive and make ivermectin immediately available in this Covid-19 emergency situation where countless people are dying and ivermectin offers hope for desperate people? Well, they say there are laws and rules and regulations that need to be followed, seemingly oblivious to the fact that the government has already declared a state of emergency and the legal impediments can easily be overcome, as the centuries old legal maxim states that the welfare of the people shall be the supreme law, especially under a national state of emergency. They admonish people to have a little bit more patience since vaccines are already being rolled out, without revealing that the safety and efficacy of the Covid-19 vaccines have been questioned by many credible independent scientists and are fraught with serious adverse effects including deaths. They turn a blind eye to the fact that 50,861 adverse events following COVID vaccines, including 2,249 deaths and 7,726 serious injuries between Dec. 14, 2020 and March 26, 2021 have been reported officially in the vaccine adverse events reporting system (VAERS) of the US.(8)

In their futile attempts to justify their irrational and anti-people behaviour, government health officials and their “experts” seem to forget that common sense is more important than technocratic directives, clinical trials, bureaucratic procedures, laws, rules and regulations. The Covid-19 spectre, vaccine mania, deceptive remedial schemes and brutal, anti-people pandemic responses  created by militarism and big money have shoved by the wayside pro-people, more sensible and a wider range of prevention and treatment strategies to address the pandemic. For people with independent minds and awakened consciousness, it is a mere matter of common sense to recognize that most governments, international bodies, academic and science institutions, mainstream medical doctors and mainstream media are under the effective control of Big Pharma and the global moneyed elite.

References:

1. Statement on the Use of Ivermectin As Treatment for COVID-19 
     https://www.psmid.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Ivermectin-1.pdf

2. Ivermectin_FLCCC database 
     https://c19ivermectin.com/

3. Ivermectin for Prevention and Treatment of COVID-19 Infection: a SystematicReview and Meta-analysis 
       https://assets.researchsquare.com/files/rs-317485/v1/611bf808-b0eb-4a9a-b877-6d6cc8f79d54.pdf

4. Monitoring-Assessment-Mass Administration Ivermectin_Albendazole_Filariasis-WHO 

5. Ivermectin-Associated With Lower Mortality-Hospitalized Patients-Covid-19        https://journal.chestnet.org/action/showPdf?pii=S0012-3692%2820%2934898-4

6. Severe adverse effects following community-based ivermectin treatment-DR Congo        https://bmcpharmacoltoxicol.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s40360-019-0327-5

7. Death from drug poisoning by paracetamol in England and Wales 1993-2019        https://www.statista.com/statistics/471227/death-by-paracetamol-drug-poisoning-in-england-and- wales/

8. CDC Data Show COVID Vaccine Injuries Reported to VAERS Surpasses 50,000       https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/covid-vaccine-injuries-vaers-cdc/
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See also:
Covid 27, Dr. Rafael Castillo on vaccine, Ivermectin, and lifting the lockdown, March 24, 2021 
Covid 28, Drs. Villa and Landrito, Ms. Cuisia, on IVM and lockdown, April 01, 2021 
Covid 29, CDC PH on WHO, Salvana attack of IVM, April 09, 2021.