Tuesday, September 04, 2012

Climate Tricks 16: On GMST, the Sun, GISS, HadCRU, and Coal

I am reposting several graphs from four different sources below about the "alarming" global warming in the planet.

1. From WUWT, Empirical Model of the Global Mean Sea Temperature (GMST)
by Girma Orssengo, PhD, September 3, 2012

IPCC’s climate model prediction for a global warming of about 0.2 deg C per decade for the next two decades is contrary to the observed climate pattern....

Note that for the parameters of the model given in Equation 1, the Residual GMST from 1885 to 2011 shown in Graph “b” has zero mean and zero trend. The result shown in Graph “e” indicates the cooling of the Multidecadal Cyclic GMST until about 2030s. This result suggests La Nina conditions will dominate in the next twenty years. Finally, Graph “f” demonstrates there was no change in the climate pattern before and after mid-20th century, contrary to IPCC claim....

2. Also from WUWT, The Sun -- still slumping
by Anthony Watts, September 3, 2012

The latest solar cycle update graphs have been released by the NOAA SWPC today, and the anemic cycle 24 continues (upper graph)
The current count isn’t keeping up with the prediction line in red. Not only is the sunspot count low, so is the 10.7cm radio flux and the Ap magnetic index (lower graph).

See brief discussion on Sun-Climate theory, Climate stupidity 10: The Sun and GCRs don't affect climate?

3. From Roy Spencer, Fun with summer statistics. Part 2: The Northern Hemisphere Land
August 15, 2012,

In Fig. 2.1 I show the percentage of the NH land areas that Hansen et al. calculated to be above the TMean 3-sigma threshold for 2006 to 2011 (black-filled circles). The next curve (gray-filled circles) is the same calculation, using the same base period (1951-1980), but using TMax from my construction from the BEST station data. The correlation between the two is high, so broad spatial and temporal features are the same. However, the areal coverage drops off by over half, from Hansen’s 6-year average of 12 percent to this analysis at 5 percent...

According to the global temperature chart below (Fig. 2.2), one could make the case that his comment apparently means he hadn’t anticipated how bad his 1988 predictions would be when compared with satellite observations from UAH and RSS...

4. From Steven Goddard,
Southern Hemisphere Sea Surface Temperatures Declining For 16 Years,
September 3, 2012 (above photo) and
Climate Models Falsified By Their Own Standards, September 1, 2012

5. Finally, from No Tricks Zone,
“Thing Of The Past” Now A Thing Of August! Snow Blankets Alps Down To Less Than 1600 Meters! (above photo) and
Forbes: “Germany — Insane Or Just Plain Stupid?” (lower photo).

Yes, terrible global warming, horrible man-made climate change, and despicable coal power plants. That is why humanity needs more government, more carbon taxation, more energy regulations, more climate bureaucracies, more global climate meetings.

See also:
Climate Tricks 12: More Flooding is Caused by Warming, July 21, 2012
Climate Tricks 13: Block Skeptics and Keep Fooling the Public, July 25, 2012
Climate Tricks 14: Flooding, El Nino and Arctic Ice, August 08, 2012
Climate Tricks 15: AGW Fiction, Avoiding Natural Climate Drivers, August 12, 2012
Fat-Free Econ 20: Flooding and Global Cooling, August 13, 2012

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