Wednesday, October 07, 2015

Energy 43, My paper on climate change and cheaper electricity at EPDP Conf. 2016

My paper abstract has been accepted for presentation in an international energy conference here in Manila, January next year. Happy me :-)

Then I can present in a conference why climate change is natural (nature-made, not man-made) and cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling). And preparing for global cooling phase, we need cheap, un-subsidized, not over-taxed, stable and reliable (available 24/7) energy sources.

Global cooling is more brutal, more deadly than global warming phase. Frequent rising rivers, creeks, lakes and street flood, not rising ocean. Outdoor agriculture and crops will be more exposed to these threats, many farmers will shift to greenhouse and hydroponics farming, indoor cattle growing, fish tank aquaculture, etc. Then there will be higher demand for electricity, cheaper electricity, available 24 hours, 365 days and nights a year.

Here is a portion of my Abstract that was accepted:

Climate Change and the Need for Cheap and Stable Energy Sources


Climate changes from warming to cooling to warming to cooling, in endless natural cycle. A period of global warming for decades is followed by a period of global cooling, lasting also for decades.

Source: Dr. Roy Spencer, Senate EPW Hearing: “Climate Change: It’s Happened Before”, July 19th 2013.

People can adjust and adapt better under global warming phase as extended drought can be combated by drip irrigation and other innovations in modern agriculture. People in temperate countries prosper more in periods of warmer months as they can grow more food and other agricultural crops.

Global cooling is more dangerous, more fatal, as it is associated with more frequent rains and flooding, longer period and more brutal winter in the temperate countries. Damages to crops, houses, roads and various public infrastructure facilities are high....

The paper will discuss some important data on the climate change debate, briefly review the experiences of UK, Germany and other European economies in their heavy push and various subsidies to renewables like wind and solar.

Relevant and more realistic policy proposals about the future energy mix of the Philippines, energy taxation and regulations, will be explored. 

Conference details here, in case you guys are interested,

Among the international plenary speakers will be
1. Frank A. Wolak, Stanford University
2. James Roumasset, University of Hawaii
3. Ujjayant Chakravorty, Tufts University
4. Mark Rosegrant, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI),
+ other foreign speakers to be confirmed (TBC).

There are many local economists and energy leaders who will speak too. 

Many friends were happy to see that letter when  I posted it in my fb wall yesterday. Thanks guys. It will be a big conference, registration fee, already subsidized by USAID, will be $133 or P6,000. As a paper presenter, I won't pay (makakatipid :-)) and will have a good opportunity to share my views and data to the participants -- and be grilled by questions, hehe. But I know this subject well, so am not scared.

Good comment from a friend, Selwyn Clyde M. Alojipan:

Congrats, Nonoy. Here's another side issue about CO2 as a greenhouse gas: Excess CO2 is supposed to be absorbed most by the oceans as carbonic acid (H2CO3) and they say this would make the oceans more acidic (ooohh, scary!). However, carbonic acid easily becomes bicarbonate (HCO3-) and carbonate (CO3--) ions that can form chalk (CaCO3)---or sodium bicarbonate (NaHCO3)---that are converted by corals and mollusks into their exoskeletons (reefs and seashells). Why are some people so very scared that excess CO2 will make the oceans so acidic it will make the reefs die (?) when excess carbonate will help the reefs build their exoskeletons faster and the zooxanthellae algae embedded within coral tissue will have higher and faster photosynthesis (due to the more abundant CO2) that gives the corals more energy to convert carbonate ions into reefs? Some people are scaring themselves with half-baked scenarios and models that haven't been tested yet.

See also: 

No comments: