Sunday, January 16, 2011

Climate dementia and flooding

(This is my article today at

Brazil flooding in Teresopolis region has killed more than 500 people already. Australia flooding has more than 25 people dead and more than 90 missing. See my earlier blog discussion with pictures on Australia flood and Antarctica ice here.

Now certain sectors of the warming camp insist that the current weird weather of heavy snowstorms in the Northern Hemisphere, the cold front and cloudy sky in the tropics, and the heavy flooding in Brazil and Australia, are still due to “man-made warming.” The warm ocean causes more evaporation and precipitation, which dumps heavy rains on certain areas of the planet, like Queensland in Australia and Teresopolis in Brazil.

Yeah. A “hotter world causes cooler and wetter world.” Great logic. Climate dementia has no concept of natural cycles in climate, that there were periods in the past that were warmer than the recent warming, that there were periods in the past with severe cooling and flooding, and that current cooling and flooding are actually not much worse than those in the past.

After the generally cooling phase (like the little ice age or LIA) some 2 to 3 centuries ago, warming phase set in, then cooling again as is happening now. That is for century level trends. There are also decadal or multi-decadal trend, like the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO).

Here is the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly of Pacific Ocean Nino region 3.4 which comprises the bulk of equatorial central Pacific, from 1990 to 2010. source:

Notice the general trend in warm phase from 1990 to 1998, then the cool phase from 1999 to 2002, then warm phase again from around 2003 to 2006, then cool phase starting in 2007 up to now, except the big El Nino last year that lasted for about 10 months.

Another graph is that of a 110 years period PDO index, from 1900 to 2010. The warm-cool-warm phases are delineated. The global cooling in the 60s to late 70s for instance is very clear in this graph. Source:

So the claims of the warming fanatics of “unprecedented warming” and “unequivocal, irreversible warming” is clearly disproven by scientific facts, especially by ocean temperatures. Note that three-fourth of the entire planet Earth’s surface is ocean, only one-fourth is land and there are even huge lakes and rivers along those land masses. So temperature and climate changes in the ocean drastically affect temperature in land masses.

Another claim by the said fanatics is that with “unequivocal warming”, ocean level is also experiencing “unequivocal rise”. So that a lot of flooding in many urban centers around the world can be explained by higher sea level compared to many decades ago. Is this true?

One measurement to check this claim is to construct a sea level anomaly (SLA) or “deviation from average” sea levels in the past. This graph below (units in centimeters) does not show upward or downward trend in sea level. Rise in sea level is followed by decline after several years. source:

The planet’s natural climate cycle of warming-cooling-warming-cooling is a non-issue. It’s like day-night-day-night, El Nino-La Nina-El Nino-La Nina, winter-spring-summer-fall, wet-dry-wet-dry season in the tropics, and other natural cycles.

Government interventions therefore, like more climate regulations, energy taxation, climate meetings, UN and government climate bureaucracies, are totally unnecessary as such climate cycles are purely natural.

It’s those people with deep interventionist and socialist agenda, of accumulating more political power and control in their hands, like the many UN bureaucrats and their partners in national governments and foreign aid establishment, who endlessly push climate alarmism and scare.

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